{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d21752e7-8f54-4a80-be36-bc79fc487b42", "symbol": "DBREALTY", "name": "Valor Estate Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1a", "phase_label": "Stage 1A \u00b7 Bottoming", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 64.672, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 48.293, "architecture_energy": 22.274, "architecture_maturity": 30.13, "architecture_confidence": 40.92, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 56.36, "rotation_up": 36.67, "upward_expansion": 65.61, "deceleration": 63.81, "rotation_down": 22.63, "downward_expansion": 5.94 }, "activity_lines": [ 115.238001, 115.058728, 114.904429, 112.815656 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 117.32, "trend_reference": 110.922, "distance_from_trend": 0.05768, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 169.963334, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.309733, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -6.437577, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.002478, "excess_performance": 0.046187, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.05768, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.035072, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.309733, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.160248, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.064376, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.049539, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.002478, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.382171, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1675485, "relative_activity": 0.222916, "balance": 0.382171, "dry_up": 0.250259, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.078175, "annualized_volatility": 0.621228, "from_high_reference": -0.373959, "from_low_reference": 0.40503 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 110.922, "fair_value_reference": 169.963334, "structural_low": 83.5, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.01856, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.005678, "regime_survival": 0.833333, "best_return": 0.676285, "worst_return": -0.043893, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.690211, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.629412, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.690211, "worst_return": 0.690211, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 1.633829, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 1.549867, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.633829, "worst_return": 1.633829, "sufficient": false }, { 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15.318084, "activity_lines": [ 114.466, 115.494, 112.898143, 111.654752 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 119.5, "volume": 3182895, "typical_volume": 8636025.75, "trend": 111.211, "fair_value": 169.439487, "relative_strength": -6.568228, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 50.438356, "energy": 22.161596, "activity_lines": [ 116.173333, 115.742, 113.836476, 112.191871 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 112.5, "volume": 1513578, "typical_volume": 8367018.55, "trend": 110.999333, "fair_value": 169.649103, "relative_strength": -9.044506, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 33.187901, "energy": 15.107162, "activity_lines": [ 115.039333, 115.126182, 114.080905, 112.275032 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 112.800003, "volume": 1152036, "typical_volume": 7884043.9, "trend": 110.741, "fair_value": 169.82218, "relative_strength": -10.204669, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 30.534518, "energy": 13.232245, "activity_lines": [ 114.380001, 114.659819, 114.310477, 112.391204 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 117.32, "volume": 1675485, "typical_volume": 7516218.1, "trend": 110.922, "fair_value": 169.963334, "relative_strength": -6.437577, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 48.292841, "energy": 22.27415, "activity_lines": [ 115.238001, 115.058728, 114.904429, 112.815656 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }