{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d2176a18-8786-40d4-b489-98ede5d54cfa", "symbol": "FLNC", "name": "Fluence Energy Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -53.118, "architecture_energy": 55.463, "architecture_maturity": 22.0, "architecture_confidence": 73.93, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 30.28, "rotation_up": 7.35, "upward_expansion": 17.37, "deceleration": 44.7, "rotation_down": 73.71, "downward_expansion": 83.37 }, "activity_lines": [ 13.754333, 15.765455, 17.360524, 17.323183 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 13.195, "trend_reference": 18.173, "distance_from_trend": -0.273923, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 16.401603, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.195505, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -32.554077, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.321245, "excess_performance": -0.508698, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.273923, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.048493, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.195505, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.617006, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.325541, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.758393, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.321245, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.746281, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 71669112, "relative_activity": 1.524576, "balance": 0.746281, "dry_up": 0.921001, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.396955, "annualized_volatility": 1.189704, "from_high_reference": -0.606237, "from_low_reference": 0.998516 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 18.173, "fair_value_reference": 16.401603, "structural_low": 11.335, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": 0.051361, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.062829, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.630739, "worst_return": -0.510923, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.307872, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": 0.149946, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 1.244019, "worst_return": -0.705426, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.02449, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.197224, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.235505, "worst_return": -0.338971, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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28.72504, "activity_lines": [ 16.622, 18.843818, 18.470548, 18.341602 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 13.44, "volume": 31099478, "typical_volume": 43585898.25, "trend": 18.809167, "fair_value": 16.569904, "relative_strength": -26.973049, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -49.256807, "energy": 36.26835, "activity_lines": [ 15.015333, 17.668182, 18.084619, 17.980645 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 13.93, "volume": 34842983, "typical_volume": 44139822.7, "trend": 18.5065, "fair_value": 16.477083, "relative_strength": -25.053765, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -48.29632, "energy": 45.102981, "activity_lines": [ 14.329333, 16.714909, 17.751738, 17.66586 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 13.195, "volume": 71669112, "typical_volume": 47009210.6, "trend": 18.173, "fair_value": 16.401603, "relative_strength": -32.554077, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.117687, "energy": 55.463234, "activity_lines": [ 13.754333, 15.765455, 17.360524, 17.323183 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }