{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d2315a5d-4b85-4dac-9373-ab391ae5cf78", "symbol": "TSL", "name": "GRANITESHARES 1.25X LONG TSLA DAILY ETF", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -67.245, "architecture_energy": 77.425, "architecture_maturity": 21.447, "architecture_confidence": 80.636, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.67, "rotation_up": 11.02, "upward_expansion": 19.81, "deceleration": 34.19, "rotation_down": 78.28, "downward_expansion": 93.15 }, "activity_lines": [ 12.391433, 13.539442, 14.625867, 14.938051 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 12.1348, "trend_reference": 15.5194, "distance_from_trend": -0.218088, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 12.655059, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.041111, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -34.976401, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.269868, "excess_performance": -0.457321, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.218088, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.079494, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.041111, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.436999, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.349764, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.26537, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.269868, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.862335, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2297332, "relative_activity": 0.463395, "balance": 0.862335, "dry_up": 0.530671, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.151212, "annualized_volatility": 0.572505, "from_high_reference": -0.430558, "from_low_reference": 0.130923 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 15.5194, "fair_value_reference": 12.655059, "structural_low": 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}, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 16.0027, "volume": 3021217, "typical_volume": 5670326.0, "trend": 16.42995, "fair_value": 12.645882, "relative_strength": -15.68478, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -33.740053, "energy": 19.944542, "activity_lines": [ 15.5513, 15.859158, 15.747936, 15.886541 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 14.725, "volume": 2061049, "typical_volume": 5520532.2, "trend": 16.24145, "fair_value": 12.661234, "relative_strength": -18.91632, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -54.13719, "energy": 31.449142, "activity_lines": [ 15.26402, 15.588895, 15.667021, 15.776544 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 11.43, "volume": 3212452, "typical_volume": 5385566.4, "trend": 15.954117, "fair_value": 12.653091, "relative_strength": -35.791838, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -79.637643, "energy": 64.30743, "activity_lines": [ 13.967407, 14.765813, 15.279022, 15.466128 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 11.3637, "volume": 2952607, "typical_volume": 5220408.95, "trend": 15.729573, "fair_value": 12.649475, "relative_strength": -36.289998, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -79.006966, "energy": 75.806321, "activity_lines": [ 12.938567, 14.030495, 14.905758, 15.169972 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 12.1348, "volume": 2297332, "typical_volume": 4957609.55, "trend": 15.5194, "fair_value": 12.655059, "relative_strength": -34.976401, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.245292, "energy": 77.424763, "activity_lines": [ 12.391433, 13.539442, 14.625867, 14.938051 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }