{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "d2513744-0fc8-4510-80b0-30674c75c3be",
    "symbol": "EJAP",
    "name": "BNP Paribas Easy MSCI Japan Min TE UCITS ETF Cap",
    "exchange": "PAR",
    "country": "FR",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FCHI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 61.711,
    "architecture_energy": 36.904,
    "architecture_maturity": 58.127,
    "architecture_confidence": 87.333,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 22.88,
        "rotation_up": 40.56,
        "upward_expansion": 66.3,
        "deceleration": 85.45,
        "rotation_down": 26.76,
        "downward_expansion": 16.3
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        20.317773,
        20.331155,
        19.995648,
        19.608959
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 20.8627,
    "trend_reference": 19.157703,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.088998,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 15.729467,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.326345,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 7.516886,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.119628,
    "excess_performance": 0.066317,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.088998,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.058495,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.326345,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.051677,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.075169,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.047415,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.119628,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 3.646572,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 259606,
      "relative_activity": 1.289198,
      "balance": 3.646572,
      "dry_up": 1.107509,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.032547,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.204804,
      "from_high_reference": -0.001928,
      "from_low_reference": 0.313135
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 19.157703,
      "fair_value_reference": 15.729467,
      "structural_low": 17.184999,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 11,
        "median_return": 0.025143,
        "positive_rate": 0.727273,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.727273,
        "median_excess_return": 0.006356,
        "regime_survival": 0.454545,
        "best_return": 0.0845,
        "worst_return": -0.043853,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.008726,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.053481,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.167248,
        "worst_return": -0.064259,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.01233,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.016863,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.115225,
        "worst_return": -0.078848,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.020698,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.088943,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.288256,
        "worst_return": -0.125307,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-08-30",
        "end": "2024-10-04",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.006525,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-10-11",
        "end": "2025-01-10",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.001631,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-01-17",
        "end": "2025-01-24",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.013646,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-01-31",
        "end": "2025-03-28",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.036469,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-04-04",
        "end": "2025-04-11",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.003568,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-18",
        "end": "2025-05-16",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.076396,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-05-23",
        "end": "2025-05-30",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.014412,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-06-06",
        "end": "2025-06-13",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.014094,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-06-20",
        "end": "2025-08-08",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.06943,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-08-15",
        "end": "2025-08-22",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.003446,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-08-29",
        "end": "2026-03-20",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.092232,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-03-27",
        "end": "2026-04-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.085399,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-04-24",
        "end": "2026-07-31",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.088624,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-08-07",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
        "close": 12.3763,
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        "typical_volume": 120419.9,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 63.098664,
        "energy": 51.667733,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 209161.75,
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        "fair_value": 15.630878,
        "relative_strength": 8.68131,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 49.989663,
        "energy": 40.786604,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 19.9965,
        "volume": 154643,
        "typical_volume": 204191.9,
        "trend": 19.06176,
        "fair_value": 15.677256,
        "relative_strength": 5.839581,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 43.697149,
        "energy": 29.806007,
        "activity_lines": [
          20.102473,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 20.8627,
        "volume": 259606,
        "typical_volume": 201370.1,
        "trend": 19.157703,
        "fair_value": 15.729467,
        "relative_strength": 7.516886,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 61.71107,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}