{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d266d1b1-4499-4b55-abd1-187ba9787c9c", "symbol": "KP2", "name": "Kore Potash plc", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 67.327, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 17.748, "architecture_energy": 21.793, "architecture_maturity": 45.343, "architecture_confidence": 57.422, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 50.41, "rotation_up": 57.89, "upward_expansion": 45.38, "deceleration": 24.42, "rotation_down": 16.81, "downward_expansion": 15.71 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.032167, 0.031473, 0.031152, 0.031458 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 0.0325, "trend_reference": 0.031963, "distance_from_trend": 0.01679, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.021738, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.495046, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -5.841598, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.044118, "excess_performance": -0.095353, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.01679, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.015999, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.495046, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.053233, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.058416, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.003735, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.044118, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 43.315895, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 258569060, "relative_activity": 15.587834, "balance": 43.315895, "dry_up": 3.983933, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.079763, "annualized_volatility": 0.358643, "from_high_reference": -0.207317, "from_low_reference": 0.220428 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.031963, "fair_value_reference": 0.021738, "structural_low": 0.02705, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 18, "median_return": 0.023821, "positive_rate": 0.555556, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": -0.001566, "regime_survival": 0.611111, "best_return": 0.319149, "worst_return": -0.217391, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.000305, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.017336, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.478261, "worst_return": -0.147059, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.108108, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.142992, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 2.416667, "worst_return": -0.323529, "sufficient": true }, { 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"Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -27.884646, "energy": 12.995527, "activity_lines": [ 0.030633, 0.030345, 0.030846, 0.031347 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.032, "volume": 1364703, "typical_volume": 4224274.55, "trend": 0.031647, "fair_value": 0.021234, "relative_strength": -4.180377, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -20.936467, "energy": 14.214333, "activity_lines": [ 0.031267, 0.030618, 0.030909, 0.031379 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.032, "volume": 4127893, "typical_volume": 4111797.65, "trend": 0.031763, "fair_value": 0.021399, "relative_strength": -5.65655, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -16.458826, "energy": 17.626422, "activity_lines": [ 0.031667, 0.030864, 0.030977, 0.031402 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.032, "volume": 278277, "typical_volume": 3906999.05, "trend": 0.031863, "fair_value": 0.021565, "relative_strength": -7.001389, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 11.548892, "energy": 17.146485, "activity_lines": [ 0.031933, 0.031127, 0.03104, 0.031417 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.0325, "volume": 258569060, "typical_volume": 16587876.1, "trend": 0.031963, "fair_value": 0.021738, "relative_strength": -5.841598, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 17.748277, "energy": 21.792694, "activity_lines": [ 0.032167, 0.031473, 0.031152, 0.031458 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }