{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d272c845-8c40-45b0-b375-53cdf3434bd9", "symbol": "002321", "name": "Henan Huaying Agricultural Development Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -38.85, "architecture_energy": 25.803, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 76.753, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 38.18, "rotation_up": 27.49, "upward_expansion": 20.74, "deceleration": 46.45, "rotation_down": 26.61, "downward_expansion": 57.07 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.867333, 1.837636, 1.884095, 1.96471 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 1.9, "trend_reference": 2.084667, "distance_from_trend": -0.088583, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 2.243205, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.152998, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -23.611089, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.24, "excess_performance": -0.2474, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.088583, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.130302, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.152998, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.074206, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.236111, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.079656, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.24, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.507236, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 117279272, "relative_activity": 0.919502, "balance": 0.507236, "dry_up": 0.976094, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.063563, "annualized_volatility": 0.294396, "from_high_reference": -0.507772, "from_low_reference": 0.151515 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.084667, "fair_value_reference": 2.243205, "structural_low": 1.65, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 27, "median_return": -0.004202, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": 0.00309, "regime_survival": 0.888889, "best_return": 0.147059, "worst_return": -0.218391, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.102273, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.027487, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.164557, "worst_return": -0.203463, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.045455, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.090213, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.148936, "worst_return": -0.24, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -49.540597, "energy": 40.397392, "activity_lines": [ 1.826, 1.817273, 1.900857, 1.993398 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.87, "volume": 113124203, "typical_volume": 133832781.45, "trend": 2.098, "fair_value": 2.247692, "relative_strength": -21.608881, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -42.798498, "energy": 30.813577, "activity_lines": [ 1.848667, 1.824182, 1.88981, 1.977484 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.9, "volume": 117279272, "typical_volume": 127546454.5, "trend": 2.084667, "fair_value": 2.243205, "relative_strength": -23.611089, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -38.849857, "energy": 25.802895, "activity_lines": [ 1.867333, 1.837636, 1.884095, 1.96471 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }