{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d27a32b0-de04-4f96-9ac0-1c4ce38ac3cf", "symbol": "SHBI", "name": "Shore Bancshares Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 65.897, "architecture_energy": 58.851, "architecture_maturity": 90.568, "architecture_confidence": 89.01, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 5.76, "rotation_up": 65.48, "upward_expansion": 85.46, "deceleration": 57.83, "rotation_down": 19.24, "downward_expansion": 9.79 }, "activity_lines": [ 23.802, 23.394182, 22.207039, 21.304065 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 23.84, "trend_reference": 20.282797, "distance_from_trend": 0.17538, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 14.605832, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.632225, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 12.127706, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.188532, "excess_performance": 0.001078, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.17538, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.105492, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.632225, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.196277, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.121277, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.153798, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.188532, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.749817, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1276332, "relative_activity": 1.160455, "balance": 1.749817, "dry_up": 1.034912, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.058365, "annualized_volatility": 0.250375, "from_high_reference": -0.042186, "from_low_reference": 0.630996 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 20.282797, "fair_value_reference": 14.605832, "structural_low": 17.13003, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 29, "median_return": 0.016812, "positive_rate": 0.517241, "directional_follow_through": 0.517241, "median_excess_return": 0.007978, "regime_survival": 0.793103, "best_return": 0.146774, "worst_return": -0.101124, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.040262, "positive_rate": 0.7, "directional_follow_through": 0.7, "median_excess_return": 0.052907, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.26382, "worst_return": -0.205861, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.140408, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.106508, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.305496, "worst_return": -0.244108, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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22.794667, 22.095295, 20.91352, 20.264229 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 23.18, "volume": 897448, "typical_volume": 1103399.2, "trend": 19.634432, "fair_value": 14.346587, "relative_strength": 15.090581, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.572702, "energy": 67.968184, "activity_lines": [ 22.939333, 22.422276, 21.218731, 20.503508 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 23.61, "volume": 1077137, "typical_volume": 1101595.25, "trend": 19.831422, "fair_value": 14.428506, "relative_strength": 18.556889, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 72.653588, "energy": 61.298445, "activity_lines": [ 23.202667, 22.762036, 21.541807, 20.759996 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 24.5, "volume": 1302095, "typical_volume": 1109120.55, "trend": 20.075509, "fair_value": 14.519664, "relative_strength": 21.648266, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 79.589775, "energy": 64.538442, "activity_lines": [ 23.652667, 23.178297, 21.922288, 21.061195 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 23.84, "volume": 1276332, "typical_volume": 1099854.95, "trend": 20.282797, "fair_value": 14.605832, "relative_strength": 12.127706, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.897166, "energy": 58.85114, "activity_lines": [ 23.802, 23.394182, 22.207039, 21.304065 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }