{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d27bb4ab-2176-4dd4-bea3-5e965c1dabbb", "symbol": "DE", "name": "Deere & Company", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 57.831, "architecture_energy": 33.499, "architecture_maturity": 18.044, "architecture_confidence": 72.547, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 33.24, "rotation_up": 51.55, "upward_expansion": 73.75, "deceleration": 61.96, "rotation_down": 17.27, "downward_expansion": 2.75 }, "activity_lines": [ 609.376667, 605.812728, 591.3335, 587.680373 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 620.83, "trend_reference": 580.897863, "distance_from_trend": 0.068742, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 451.507175, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.375017, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 3.918053, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.06775, "excess_performance": -0.057875, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.068742, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.079346, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.375017, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.056294, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.039181, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.04777, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.06775, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.639597, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 4594363, "relative_activity": 0.778087, "balance": 1.639597, "dry_up": 0.892574, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.06929, "annualized_volatility": 0.311854, "from_high_reference": -0.076498, "from_low_reference": 0.442914 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 580.897863, "fair_value_reference": 451.507175, "structural_low": 513.837722, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 22, "median_return": -0.019241, "positive_rate": 0.409091, "directional_follow_through": 0.409091, "median_excess_return": -0.007421, "regime_survival": 0.590909, "best_return": 0.257853, "worst_return": -0.223654, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.024487, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.444444, "median_excess_return": -0.065447, "regime_survival": 0.111111, "best_return": 0.178145, "worst_return": -0.123851, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.055899, "positive_rate": 0.166667, "directional_follow_through": 0.166667, "median_excess_return": -0.115483, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.134135, "worst_return": -0.084988, "sufficient": true }, { 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"typical_volume": 6075785.35, "trend": 576.426208, "fair_value": 450.210988, "relative_strength": 2.690336, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 49.62212, "energy": 27.764959, "activity_lines": [ 604.18, 600.650517, 587.533949, 584.815612 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 620.83, "volume": 4594363, "typical_volume": 5904687.75, "trend": 580.897863, "fair_value": 451.507175, "relative_strength": 3.918053, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.830653, "energy": 33.499346, "activity_lines": [ 609.376667, 605.812728, 591.3335, 587.680373 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }