{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d2807e88-0d65-4e83-985a-ddf463375065", "symbol": "SFI", "name": "Solution Financial Inc.", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 50.075, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -43.666, "architecture_energy": 24.374, "architecture_maturity": 17.348, "architecture_confidence": 95.447, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 23.45, "rotation_up": 20.61, "upward_expansion": 4.45, "deceleration": 49.35, "rotation_down": 44.98, "downward_expansion": 73.12 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.272333, 0.272909, 0.273833, 0.274424 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 0.275, "trend_reference": 0.274936, "distance_from_trend": 0.000232, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.274827, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.00063, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -11.614563, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.003584, "excess_performance": -0.116838, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.000232, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.005672, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.00063, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.005612, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.116146, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.008955, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.003584, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.322902, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 52815, "relative_activity": 0.563135, "balance": 0.322902, "dry_up": 2.002812, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.01958, "annualized_volatility": 0.072907, "from_high_reference": -0.064454, "from_low_reference": 0.061485 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.274936, "fair_value_reference": 0.274827, "structural_low": 0.26, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 26, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.384615, "directional_follow_through": 0.461538, "median_excess_return": -0.018061, "regime_survival": 0.769231, "best_return": 0.250002, "worst_return": -0.083333, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.021832, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.023105, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.255231, "worst_return": -0.169393, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.000762, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.028238, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.175466, "worst_return": -0.220545, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -45.496519, "energy": 34.421125, "activity_lines": [ 0.273667, 0.274182, 0.274738, 0.275141 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.27, "volume": 261000, "typical_volume": 85999.05, "trend": 0.27537, "fair_value": 0.274816, "relative_strength": -11.767981, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.545262, "energy": 52.339802, "activity_lines": [ 0.272333, 0.273364, 0.274238, 0.274775 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.27, "volume": 384039, "typical_volume": 93696.65, "trend": 0.27507, "fair_value": 0.274759, "relative_strength": -10.897052, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.707916, "energy": 53.789622, "activity_lines": [ 0.271333, 0.272636, 0.273786, 0.274429 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.275, "volume": 52815, "typical_volume": 93787.4, "trend": 0.274936, "fair_value": 0.274827, "relative_strength": -11.614563, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -43.666092, "energy": 24.374201, "activity_lines": [ 0.272333, 0.272909, 0.273833, 0.274424 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }