{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d29582b5-131a-4c61-95d8-f991742cd4e0", "symbol": "SNT", "name": "Syntara Limited", "exchange": "ASX", "country": "AU", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^AXJO", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Structural repair", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": 7.713, "architecture_energy": 20.191, "architecture_maturity": 48.83, "architecture_confidence": 38.728, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 54.72, "rotation_up": 42.01, "upward_expansion": 20.59, "deceleration": 44.14, "rotation_down": 14.83, "downward_expansion": 54.59 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.0276, 0.025464, 0.02576, 0.027008 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 0.035, "trend_reference": 0.028917, "distance_from_trend": 0.210375, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.03809, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.081117, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 13.3961, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.0, "excess_performance": -0.063706, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.210375, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.074173, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.081117, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.285897, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.133961, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.465227, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.0, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.795436, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 17270795, "relative_activity": 2.505357, "balance": 1.795436, "dry_up": 1.305437, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.102198, "annualized_volatility": 0.799513, "from_high_reference": -0.351852, "from_low_reference": 0.842105 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.028917, "fair_value_reference": 0.03809, "structural_low": 0.019, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.338947, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.321213, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.52, "worst_return": 0.157895, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.317895, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.296035, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.32, "worst_return": 0.315789, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.721053, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.73103, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 1.4, "worst_return": 0.042105, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.364211, 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0.028151 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 0.023, "volume": 19208954, "typical_volume": 5946249.85, "trend": 0.0297, "fair_value": 0.038689, "relative_strength": -27.581446, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.09906, "energy": 58.524769, "activity_lines": [ 0.022533, 0.023573, 0.026005, 0.027697 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.024, "volume": 6133584, "typical_volume": 6083987.65, "trend": 0.0295, "fair_value": 0.03851, "relative_strength": -22.892436, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.627433, "energy": 53.95504, "activity_lines": [ 0.022933, 0.023509, 0.025643, 0.027329 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.022, "volume": 5984066, "typical_volume": 6189904.4, "trend": 0.029133, "fair_value": 0.03833, "relative_strength": -27.565035, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.860213, "energy": 47.608429, "activity_lines": [ 0.022667, 0.023109, 0.025124, 0.026845 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.0255, "volume": 6607928, "typical_volume": 6125873.7, "trend": 0.02885, "fair_value": 0.038186, "relative_strength": -16.048585, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -43.162633, "energy": 30.942378, "activity_lines": [ 0.023767, 0.023418, 0.024981, 0.026611 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.035, "volume": 17270795, "typical_volume": 6893547.25, "trend": 0.028917, "fair_value": 0.03809, "relative_strength": 13.3961, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "down", "direction": 7.713189, "energy": 20.191262, "activity_lines": [ 0.0276, 0.025464, 0.02576, 0.027008 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }