{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "d2962001-d54a-416b-a2ec-8a7173f0166c",
    "symbol": "3516",
    "name": "ADO Optronics Corporation",
    "exchange": "TWO",
    "country": "TW",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-14",
    "benchmark": "^TWII",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 65.258,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 38.414,
    "architecture_energy": 24.555,
    "architecture_maturity": 47.198,
    "architecture_confidence": 77.94,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 37.55,
        "rotation_up": 29.12,
        "upward_expansion": 60.17,
        "deceleration": 89.79,
        "rotation_down": 25.87,
        "downward_expansion": 14.84
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        25.429125,
        25.768125,
        24.84803,
        23.611768
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 25.200001,
    "trend_reference": 22.16606,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.136873,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 21.49876,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.172161,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -14.269969,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.26307,
    "excess_performance": -0.178302,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.136873,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.101958,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.172161,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.077169,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.1427,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.08862,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.26307,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 4.425751,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 113004,
      "relative_activity": 0.116307,
      "balance": 4.425751,
      "dry_up": 0.413696,
      "accumulation_observations": 5,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.107592,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.337029,
      "from_high_reference": -0.170336,
      "from_low_reference": 0.434334
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 22.16606,
      "fair_value_reference": 21.49876,
      "structural_low": 17.569132,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": -0.01944,
        "positive_rate": 0.375,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.375,
        "median_excess_return": -0.004662,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.137778,
        "worst_return": -0.092742,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.01705,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": -0.07032,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.080645,
        "worst_return": -0.023739,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.146691,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.037514,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": 0.048758,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.378541,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.027188,
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        "worst_return": 0.136105,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "end": "2024-01-12",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "return": 0.008333,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.054795,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-04-12",
        "end": "2024-05-31",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.108871,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "end": "2024-09-27",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.106972,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2024-12-20",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2025-01-10",
        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-01-17",
        "end": "2025-09-19",
        "tenure": "Extended",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2026-03-27",
        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "end": "2026-04-24",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.09589,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
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        "active": true
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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      },
      {
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        "fair_value": 21.270626,
        "relative_strength": -13.354453,
        "stage": 3,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "volume": 972770,
        "typical_volume": 956584.35,
        "trend": 21.642126,
        "fair_value": 21.329262,
        "relative_strength": -10.410736,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 56.613446,
        "energy": 40.488657,
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          25.860702,
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          24.109225,
          22.916184
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 24.517376,
        "volume": 142043,
        "typical_volume": 960780.75,
        "trend": 21.809214,
        "fair_value": 21.380262,
        "relative_strength": -12.805329,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 40.497995,
        "energy": 25.078394,
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          25.265139,
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          24.298529,
          23.101684
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 26.5,
        "volume": 379973,
        "typical_volume": 975150.95,
        "trend": 21.984489,
        "fair_value": 21.442798,
        "relative_strength": -7.457218,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 44.716126,
        "energy": 25.348804,
        "activity_lines": [
          25.522354,
          25.876775,
          24.652785,
          23.404315
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-14",
        "close": 25.200001,
        "volume": 113004,
        "typical_volume": 971601.1,
        "trend": 22.16606,
        "fair_value": 21.49876,
        "relative_strength": -14.269969,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 38.41398,
        "energy": 24.555249,
        "activity_lines": [
          25.429125,
          25.768125,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}