{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d2ba9898-ee24-4267-85bb-75c25cc236ab", "symbol": "CINELINE", "name": "Cineline India Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 92.233, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Structural repair", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 32.231, "architecture_energy": 36.472, "architecture_maturity": 8.832, "architecture_confidence": 88.557, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 29.18, "rotation_up": 63.63, "upward_expansion": 42.52, "deceleration": 29.93, "rotation_down": 19.77, "downward_expansion": 22.19 }, "activity_lines": [ 86.516668, 83.467273, 82.507524, 83.033291 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 90.830002, "trend_reference": 83.683, "distance_from_trend": 0.085406, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 104.53032, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.131065, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 7.704034, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.069469, "excess_performance": 0.113178, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.085406, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.015193, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.131065, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.058945, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.07704, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.071365, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.069469, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.535671, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 127193, "relative_activity": 1.478968, "balance": 1.535671, "dry_up": 2.006684, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.062568, "annualized_volatility": 0.306894, "from_high_reference": -0.06841, "from_low_reference": 0.23831 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 83.683, "fair_value_reference": 104.53032, "structural_low": 73.349998, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.028896, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.039706, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.082315, "worst_return": -0.191239, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.044296, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.024589, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.166023, "worst_return": -0.349003, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.152049, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.1202, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.252896, "worst_return": -0.183569, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"color": "blue", "start": "2024-08-02", "end": "2024-10-04", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.107129, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-10-11", "end": "2024-12-20", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.136263, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2024-12-27", "end": "2025-01-17", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.127733, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-01-24", "end": "2025-01-31", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.063769, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-02-07", "end": "2025-05-30", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.043348, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-06-06", "end": "2025-09-12", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.1106, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-09-19", "end": "2025-12-19", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.023532, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-12-26", "end": "2026-05-29", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.154026, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-06-05", "end": "2026-07-31", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.109146, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-08-07", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 111.400002, "volume": 793731, "typical_volume": 310612.75, "trend": 95.151667, "fair_value": 86.236539, "relative_strength": 0.97062, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 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"relative_strength": 6.190656, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -16.509095, "energy": 10.237178, "activity_lines": [ 81.006, 80.128181, 81.216714, 82.272108 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 87.800003, "volume": 246723, "typical_volume": 87765.05, "trend": 83.447334, "fair_value": 104.580769, "relative_strength": 4.892263, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 11.494416, "energy": 15.088292, "activity_lines": [ 83.578668, 81.598, 81.722191, 82.55699 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 90.830002, "volume": 127193, "typical_volume": 86001.2, "trend": 83.683, "fair_value": 104.53032, "relative_strength": 7.704034, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 32.230728, "energy": 36.472156, "activity_lines": [ 86.516668, 83.467273, 82.507524, 83.033291 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }