{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d2bc3b8d-a5a8-4931-a924-151c637d8332", "symbol": "UNIBAP", "name": "Unibap Space Solutions AB (publ)", "exchange": "STO", "country": "SE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^OMX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 4.358, "architecture_energy": 17.988, "architecture_maturity": 52.96, "architecture_confidence": 88.088, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 54.05, "rotation_up": 15.61, "upward_expansion": 41.92, "deceleration": 84.72, "rotation_down": 42.04, "downward_expansion": 35.92 }, "activity_lines": [ 8.356667, 8.753636, 9.182619, 8.582151 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 8.5, "trend_reference": 7.805667, "distance_from_trend": 0.088952, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 4.95506, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.715418, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 2.00219, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.574074, "excess_performance": 0.51258, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.088952, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.115945, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.715418, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.170992, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.020022, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.2593, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.574074, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.473307, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 280383, "relative_activity": 0.420321, "balance": 1.473307, "dry_up": 0.384987, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.154842, "annualized_volatility": 0.74292, "from_high_reference": -0.375, "from_low_reference": 0.927438 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 7.805667, "fair_value_reference": 4.95506, "structural_low": 4.41, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.190476, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.169461, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.249467, "worst_return": -0.240876, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.240602, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.316602, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.345455, "worst_return": -0.222628, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.352835, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.319147, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.669173, "worst_return": 0.036496, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.458985, 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"2025-01-24", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.134897, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-01-31", "end": "2025-02-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.042607, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-02-14", "end": "2025-04-11", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.039443, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-04-18", "end": "2025-05-16", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.249467, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-05-23", "end": "2025-10-10", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.173469, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-10-17", "end": "2026-02-06", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.171779, "active": false }, { "regime": 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11.141467, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 40.389342, "energy": 24.595666, "activity_lines": [ 9.753333, 10.183636, 9.168286, 8.344301 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 8.73, "volume": 310278, "typical_volume": 779018.8, "trend": 7.602, "fair_value": 4.933087, "relative_strength": 9.116616, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 32.290896, "energy": 27.855918, "activity_lines": [ 9.214667, 9.942545, 9.235952, 8.420538 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 8.2, "volume": 221275, "typical_volume": 739488.95, "trend": 7.652, "fair_value": 4.937007, "relative_strength": 3.615903, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 19.847385, "energy": 25.35338, "activity_lines": [ 8.764, 9.594364, 9.236524, 8.459118 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 8.4, "volume": 279209, "typical_volume": 728729.9, "trend": 7.71, "fair_value": 4.944483, "relative_strength": 4.468353, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 17.422459, "energy": 23.375604, "activity_lines": [ 8.564, 9.306182, 9.239714, 8.507376 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 8.13, "volume": 246384, "typical_volume": 686396.45, "trend": 7.761, "fair_value": 4.946185, "relative_strength": -0.26727, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 1.179318, "energy": 18.403917, "activity_lines": [ 8.359333, 8.973818, 9.199381, 8.534473 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 8.5, "volume": 280383, "typical_volume": 667068.85, "trend": 7.805667, "fair_value": 4.95506, "relative_strength": 2.00219, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 4.357876, "energy": 17.988414, "activity_lines": [ 8.356667, 8.753636, 9.182619, 8.582151 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }