{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d2c2c1a7-c92b-4dfe-a097-f9a4595a5fa5", "symbol": "PRHI", "name": "Presurance Holdings, Inc.", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 50.146, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 50.482, "architecture_energy": 30.453, "architecture_maturity": 12.105, "architecture_confidence": 68.4, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 28.87, "rotation_up": 50.71, "upward_expansion": 76.23, "deceleration": 58.43, "rotation_down": 21.11, "downward_expansion": 5.23 }, "activity_lines": [ 5.166667, 5.11018, 4.812706, 4.669078 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 4.65, "trend_reference": 4.520378, "distance_from_trend": 0.028675, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 6.04235, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.230432, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -25.580531, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.05733, "excess_performance": -0.130124, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.028675, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.050598, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.230432, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.133238, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.255805, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.121344, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.05733, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.489779, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 21599, "relative_activity": 0.17686, "balance": 3.489779, "dry_up": 0.14354, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.201448, "annualized_volatility": 0.92156, "from_high_reference": -0.736079, "from_low_reference": 0.555389 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 4.520378, "fair_value_reference": 6.04235, "structural_low": 2.989606, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.065254, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.111025, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.322449, "worst_return": -0.296296, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.124897, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.185092, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.114286, "worst_return": -0.135509, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.404778, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.414997, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.402776, "worst_return": -0.40678, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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-8.945367, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.128015, "energy": 52.290051, "activity_lines": [ 5.161933, 4.990373, 4.683599, 4.57823 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 5.73, "volume": 20299, "typical_volume": 127427.05, "trend": 4.50857, "fair_value": 6.069213, "relative_strength": -4.156536, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.694848, "energy": 53.245012, "activity_lines": [ 5.3688, 5.159675, 4.80238, 4.659953 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 4.65, "volume": 21599, "typical_volume": 122124.6, "trend": 4.520378, "fair_value": 6.04235, "relative_strength": -25.580531, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 50.481818, "energy": 30.453416, "activity_lines": [ 5.166667, 5.11018, 4.812706, 4.669078 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }