{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d2c3ffa3-d737-4e46-97b2-ccbbe50139cc", "symbol": "YOLO", "name": "ADVISORSHARES TRUST PURE CANNABIS ETF", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -55.388, "architecture_energy": 51.616, "architecture_maturity": 10.631, "architecture_confidence": 93.705, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 24.98, "rotation_up": 12.71, "upward_expansion": 10.62, "deceleration": 39.31, "rotation_down": 61.0, "downward_expansion": 83.96 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.608227, 2.689725, 2.810881, 2.838458 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 2.65, "trend_reference": 2.88951, "distance_from_trend": -0.082889, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 2.923896, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.093675, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -22.558546, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.101695, "excess_performance": -0.22732, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.082889, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.045013, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.093675, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.169147, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.225585, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.207462, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.101695, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.641817, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 215914, "relative_activity": 1.053781, "balance": 0.641817, "dry_up": 0.690105, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.131602, "annualized_volatility": 0.351284, "from_high_reference": -0.414442, "from_low_reference": 0.10874 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.88951, "fair_value_reference": 2.923896, "structural_low": 2.3901, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 41, "median_return": -0.038491, "positive_rate": 0.341463, "directional_follow_through": 0.658537, "median_excess_return": -0.056555, "regime_survival": 0.878049, "best_return": 0.376923, "worst_return": -0.291829, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": -0.144138, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": -0.152374, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.709596, "worst_return": -0.438728, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.274532, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": -0.378408, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.194452, "worst_return": -0.538345, "sufficient": true 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2.838753, 2.893488, 2.907825 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 2.55, "volume": 138742, "typical_volume": 205468.4, "trend": 2.93852, "fair_value": 2.923255, "relative_strength": -22.260351, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.358026, "energy": 52.283081, "activity_lines": [ 2.67892, 2.777578, 2.861223, 2.880995 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.5397, "volume": 114921, "typical_volume": 202073.4, "trend": 2.91051, "fair_value": 2.923098, "relative_strength": -23.339875, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.688313, "energy": 57.514396, "activity_lines": [ 2.618513, 2.720167, 2.83012, 2.855265 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.65, "volume": 215914, "typical_volume": 204894.5, "trend": 2.88951, "fair_value": 2.923896, "relative_strength": -22.558546, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.388181, "energy": 51.615663, "activity_lines": [ 2.608227, 2.689725, 2.810881, 2.838458 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }