{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d2c62eba-05b7-4950-beb4-9ec55b45228d", "symbol": "300288", "name": "Longmaster Information & Technology Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -48.712, "architecture_energy": 43.023, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 93.893, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 18.07, "rotation_up": 27.73, "upward_expansion": 19.89, "deceleration": 47.0, "rotation_down": 40.23, "downward_expansion": 69.89 }, "activity_lines": [ 9.551985, 9.399524, 10.02264, 10.79743 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 9.95, "trend_reference": 11.921268, "distance_from_trend": -0.165357, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 13.851698, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.281677, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -26.74186, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.294326, "excess_performance": -0.301726, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.165357, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.113968, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.281677, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.145576, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.267419, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.013597, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.294326, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.603525, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 28296912, "relative_activity": 1.464707, "balance": 0.603525, "dry_up": 1.527293, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.081623, "annualized_volatility": 0.317747, "from_high_reference": -0.427173, "from_low_reference": 0.150255 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 11.921268, "fair_value_reference": 13.851698, "structural_low": 8.650259, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 25, "median_return": -0.002076, "positive_rate": 0.48, "directional_follow_through": 0.52, "median_excess_return": -0.000436, "regime_survival": 0.76, "best_return": 0.252805, "worst_return": -0.154382, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.017527, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.026208, "regime_survival": 0.555556, "best_return": 0.205676, "worst_return": -0.299439, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.031973, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.084529, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.167503, "worst_return": -0.349553, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"direction": -67.595423, "energy": 66.641453, "activity_lines": [ 9.172514, 9.442145, 10.468898, 11.308299 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 8.81, "volume": 26779404, "typical_volume": 18720795.25, "trend": 12.155935, "fair_value": 13.954469, "relative_strength": -34.582479, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.594362, "energy": 67.447114, "activity_lines": [ 9.056583, 9.255635, 10.23005, 11.082217 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 9.83, "volume": 29256922, "typical_volume": 19026601.85, "trend": 12.038268, "fair_value": 13.900246, "relative_strength": -24.912262, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.901942, "energy": 54.00049, "activity_lines": [ 9.317948, 9.305307, 10.111773, 10.932157 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 9.95, "volume": 28296912, "typical_volume": 19319159.35, "trend": 11.921268, "fair_value": 13.851698, "relative_strength": -26.74186, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -48.711727, "energy": 43.02301, "activity_lines": [ 9.551985, 9.399524, 10.02264, 10.79743 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }