{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d2caa4ff-1251-402d-8621-71ac2595c214", "symbol": "300993", "name": "Shandong Yuma Sun-shading Technology Corp., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -60.593, "architecture_energy": 51.753, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 88.808, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 16.75, "rotation_up": 26.16, "upward_expansion": 8.44, "deceleration": 60.63, "rotation_down": 49.56, "downward_expansion": 79.44 }, "activity_lines": [ 9.621333, 9.714364, 10.321594, 10.946688 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 9.98, "trend_reference": 11.95375, "distance_from_trend": -0.165116, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 11.511926, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.133073, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -31.350489, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.305209, "excess_performance": -0.312609, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.165116, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.135229, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.133073, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.203093, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.313505, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.005831, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.305209, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.459802, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 13647170, "relative_activity": 1.032286, "balance": 0.459802, "dry_up": 1.038011, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 6 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.08584, "annualized_volatility": 0.295822, "from_high_reference": -0.551441, "from_low_reference": 0.113839 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 11.95375, "fair_value_reference": 11.511926, "structural_low": 8.96, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.047677, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.041365, "regime_survival": 0.833333, "best_return": 0.279323, "worst_return": -0.1199, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.043406, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.060956, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.199616, "worst_return": -0.231638, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.19019, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.166363, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.327283, "worst_return": -0.381936, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"trend": 12.283875, "fair_value": 11.517271, "relative_strength": -36.348191, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.518927, "energy": 66.209425, "activity_lines": [ 9.437333, 9.785013, 10.557674, 11.251679 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 9.68, "volume": 11995419, "typical_volume": 13100988.8, "trend": 12.103489, "fair_value": 11.513394, "relative_strength": -30.620081, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.122369, "energy": 59.237173, "activity_lines": [ 9.486, 9.707273, 10.417684, 11.083687 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 9.98, "volume": 13647170, "typical_volume": 13220343.2, "trend": 11.95375, "fair_value": 11.511926, "relative_strength": -31.350489, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.593081, "energy": 51.753407, "activity_lines": [ 9.621333, 9.714364, 10.321594, 10.946688 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }