{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d2d61baf-41ad-40e7-bb8f-cf126a280119", "symbol": "688033", "name": "Beijing Tianyishangjia New Material Corp., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -64.549, "architecture_energy": 61.942, "architecture_maturity": 33.194, "architecture_confidence": 94.827, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 12.39, "rotation_up": 22.15, "upward_expansion": 12.45, "deceleration": 43.56, "rotation_down": 57.92, "downward_expansion": 85.78 }, "activity_lines": [ 6.326, 6.443636, 6.930524, 7.423419 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 6.27, "trend_reference": 7.989667, "distance_from_trend": -0.215236, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 8.714878, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.280541, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -16.070221, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.227833, "excess_performance": -0.184629, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.215236, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.019913, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.280541, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.10309, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.160702, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.147865, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.227833, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.657362, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 18046297, "relative_activity": 0.445756, "balance": 0.657362, "dry_up": 0.430812, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.108208, "annualized_volatility": 0.623678, "from_high_reference": -0.490244, "from_low_reference": 0.148352 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 7.989667, "fair_value_reference": 8.714878, "structural_low": 5.94, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 25, "median_return": -0.038111, "positive_rate": 0.28, "directional_follow_through": 0.72, "median_excess_return": -0.025964, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 0.391949, "worst_return": -0.173442, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.019524, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.005386, "regime_survival": 0.7, "best_return": 0.291506, "worst_return": -0.477737, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.155285, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.135714, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.328185, "worst_return": -0.387571, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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-64.663251, "energy": 49.995367, "activity_lines": [ 6.636, 6.804, 7.333714, 7.780129 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 6.24, "volume": 17376897, "typical_volume": 48906478.4, "trend": 8.104333, "fair_value": 8.86944, "relative_strength": -14.285359, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.787967, "energy": 48.604081, "activity_lines": [ 6.525333, 6.642182, 7.18019, 7.658366 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 6.23, "volume": 13448844, "typical_volume": 44862941.8, "trend": 8.037333, "fair_value": 8.790532, "relative_strength": -14.536674, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.771395, "energy": 51.020988, "activity_lines": [ 6.420667, 6.521091, 7.044476, 7.537441 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 6.27, "volume": 18046297, "typical_volume": 40484689.05, "trend": 7.989667, "fair_value": 8.714878, "relative_strength": -16.070221, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.549023, "energy": 61.942051, "activity_lines": [ 6.326, 6.443636, 6.930524, 7.423419 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }