{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d2d6c7e8-a62c-4f1a-9141-7c0c64efacac", "symbol": "003005", "name": "Beijing Jingyeda Technology Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -63.163, "architecture_energy": 56.335, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 93.108, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.22, "rotation_up": 26.64, "upward_expansion": 9.76, "deceleration": 60.96, "rotation_down": 53.56, "downward_expansion": 83.09 }, "activity_lines": [ 12.886, 13.045455, 14.305056, 15.496137 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 13.74, "trend_reference": 17.132972, "distance_from_trend": -0.198038, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 19.874905, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.308676, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -31.064671, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.325497, "excess_performance": -0.332896, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.198038, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.12524, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.308676, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.20036, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.310647, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.021497, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.325497, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.553602, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 57710397, "relative_activity": 3.871174, "balance": 0.553602, "dry_up": 2.100069, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.106163, "annualized_volatility": 0.37243, "from_high_reference": -0.460924, "from_low_reference": 0.223508 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 17.132972, "fair_value_reference": 19.874905, "structural_low": 11.23, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 28, "median_return": -0.021496, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.039751, "regime_survival": 0.857143, "best_return": 0.53617, "worst_return": -0.192059, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.09846, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.044964, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 2.459489, "worst_return": -0.219762, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.018365, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.051158, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 3.152642, "worst_return": -0.325948, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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"activity_lines": [ 12.312667, 13.131069, 14.765961, 16.010032 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 13.23, "volume": 18259156, "typical_volume": 12981763.35, "trend": 17.351667, "fair_value": 19.916458, "relative_strength": -31.200585, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.999626, "energy": 65.549498, "activity_lines": [ 12.526, 13.014727, 14.496402, 15.729147 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 13.74, "volume": 57710397, "typical_volume": 14907723.75, "trend": 17.132972, "fair_value": 19.874905, "relative_strength": -31.064671, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.163121, "energy": 56.335474, "activity_lines": [ 12.886, 13.045455, 14.305056, 15.496137 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }