{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "d2d8911d-75f5-4cfb-b899-918d3a37e59c",
    "symbol": "3628",
    "name": "Ablerex Electronics Co., Ltd.",
    "exchange": "TWO",
    "country": "TW",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-14",
    "benchmark": "^TWII",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 52.464,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 37.024,
    "architecture_energy": 17.173,
    "architecture_maturity": 52.157,
    "architecture_confidence": 76.665,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 44.79,
        "rotation_up": 31.75,
        "upward_expansion": 54.65,
        "deceleration": 84.18,
        "rotation_down": 32.54,
        "downward_expansion": 22.98
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        67.166667,
        67.863058,
        67.313157,
        66.579884
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 71.199997,
    "trend_reference": 65.786606,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.082287,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 48.15341,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.478608,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -22.995702,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.173356,
    "excess_performance": -0.268017,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.082287,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.018116,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.478608,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.17635,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.229957,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.066762,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.173356,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.084671,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 422087,
      "relative_activity": 0.347902,
      "balance": 2.084671,
      "dry_up": 0.4036,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.100369,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.421134,
      "from_high_reference": -0.31644,
      "from_low_reference": 0.63754
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 65.786606,
      "fair_value_reference": 48.15341,
      "structural_low": 58.96059,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 16,
        "median_return": -0.005741,
        "positive_rate": 0.4375,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4375,
        "median_excess_return": -0.016494,
        "regime_survival": 0.625,
        "best_return": 0.227273,
        "worst_return": -0.168618,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.053864,
        "positive_rate": 0.571429,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.571429,
        "median_excess_return": 0.042133,
        "regime_survival": 0.142857,
        "best_return": 0.25,
        "worst_return": -0.119816,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.121461,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.040681,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.358597,
        "worst_return": 0.028814,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.147813,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.128725,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.789557,
        "worst_return": 0.027011,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-05-17",
        "end": "2024-06-28",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.08026,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-07-05",
        "end": "2024-08-16",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.1359,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-08-23",
        "end": "2024-09-13",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.037585,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-09-20",
        "end": "2024-11-15",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.055944,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2024-11-22",
        "end": "2025-01-03",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.080412,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-01-10",
        "end": "2025-04-04",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.012673,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-11",
        "end": "2025-06-13",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.150198,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-06-20",
        "end": "2025-07-11",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.011867,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-07-18",
        "end": "2025-08-08",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.050469,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-08-15",
        "end": "2025-12-05",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.651561,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-12-12",
        "end": "2026-02-13",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.147297,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-02-27",
        "end": "2026-03-06",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.057828,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-03-13",
        "end": "2026-04-10",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.031818,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-04-17",
        "end": "2026-08-14",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.044994,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-11",
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        "typical_volume": 1551850.0,
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      },
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        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "fair_value": 46.293231,
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        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "down",
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        "energy": 36.311877,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "fair_value": 46.734023,
        "relative_strength": -25.069183,
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        "regime": "balance",
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      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "fair_value": 46.857639,
        "relative_strength": -27.460378,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
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        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "fair_value": 47.480092,
        "relative_strength": -23.824038,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 48.97915,
        "energy": 27.924761,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 67.400002,
        "volume": 698181,
        "typical_volume": 1249818.4,
        "trend": 65.662769,
        "fair_value": 47.646643,
        "relative_strength": -24.049311,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 37.825466,
        "energy": 22.971462,
        "activity_lines": [
          68.666991,
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          67.193638,
          66.382717
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 64.300003,
        "volume": 559144,
        "typical_volume": 1249168.85,
        "trend": 65.611406,
        "fair_value": 47.794388,
        "relative_strength": -26.46874,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 21.294129,
        "energy": 11.95389,
        "activity_lines": [
          67.101727,
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          67.017273,
          66.294797
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 64.400002,
        "volume": 279236,
        "typical_volume": 1236246.2,
        "trend": 65.569746,
        "fair_value": 47.948372,
        "relative_strength": -28.008742,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 17.636498,
        "energy": 15.495775,
        "activity_lines": [
          65.659783,
          67.324555,
          66.844573,
          66.216642
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-14",
        "close": 71.199997,
        "volume": 422087,
        "typical_volume": 1213234.75,
        "trend": 65.786606,
        "fair_value": 48.15341,
        "relative_strength": -22.995702,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 37.024291,
        "energy": 17.173096,
        "activity_lines": [
          67.166667,
          67.863058,
          67.313157,
          66.579884
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}