{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "d2dbd2a8-89ba-480b-ad8c-8744284a8800",
    "symbol": "GMCO34",
    "name": "General Motors Company",
    "exchange": "SAO",
    "country": "BR",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^BVSP",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 85.099,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 69.278,
    "architecture_energy": 68.31,
    "architecture_maturity": 17.926,
    "architecture_confidence": 87.761,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 27.0,
        "rotation_up": 67.55,
        "upward_expansion": 85.91,
        "deceleration": 47.88,
        "rotation_down": 15.32,
        "downward_expansion": 19.57
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        107.810667,
        105.035092,
        102.627852,
        101.478342
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 111.43,
    "trend_reference": 101.385806,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.099069,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 72.143821,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.544554,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 10.81963,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.02693,
    "excess_performance": 0.083978,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.099069,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.000228,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.544554,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.146684,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.108196,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.203165,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.02693,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 18.142591,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1080,
      "relative_activity": 0.207039,
      "balance": 18.142591,
      "dry_up": 1.033663,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.054513,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.246524,
      "from_high_reference": -0.047607,
      "from_low_reference": 0.547612
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 101.385806,
      "fair_value_reference": 72.143821,
      "structural_low": 88.460094,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 12,
        "median_return": 0.048629,
        "positive_rate": 0.583333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.583333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.052373,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.12052,
        "worst_return": -0.060911,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.01169,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": 0.024861,
        "regime_survival": 0.4,
        "best_return": 0.167402,
        "worst_return": -0.259556,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.120713,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.098988,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.679551,
        "worst_return": -0.226307,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.292955,
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        "worst_return": -0.162116,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "end": "2025-02-14",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-04",
        "end": "2025-06-06",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2026-01-30",
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        "active": false
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      {
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        "active": true
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        "typical_volume": 8005.15,
        "trend": 99.220708,
        "fair_value": 66.494857,
        "relative_strength": -9.565405,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -15.640074,
        "energy": 16.919314,
        "activity_lines": [
          97.023984,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 93.881523,
        "volume": 6611,
        "typical_volume": 7769.5,
        "trend": 99.691222,
        "fair_value": 66.836575,
        "relative_strength": -11.019,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -24.604035,
        "energy": 20.118585,
        "activity_lines": [
          96.18434,
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          100.735482
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 93.921455,
        "volume": 14610,
        "typical_volume": 8203.8,
        "trend": 100.282037,
        "fair_value": 67.189019,
        "relative_strength": -9.496831,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -31.527668,
        "energy": 23.740496,
        "activity_lines": [
          95.476571,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 95.029709,
        "volume": 6134,
        "typical_volume": 8173.9,
        "trend": 100.820068,
        "fair_value": 67.542047,
        "relative_strength": -4.994977,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -54.096638,
        "energy": 42.347132,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 98.394386,
        "volume": 10099,
        "typical_volume": 8411.1,
        "trend": 100.989724,
        "fair_value": 67.913258,
        "relative_strength": -1.261611,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -50.60546,
        "energy": 30.172552,
        "activity_lines": [
          95.91098,
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          99.867883
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 105.43325,
        "volume": 21226,
        "typical_volume": 8912.6,
        "trend": 101.408963,
        "fair_value": 68.322127,
        "relative_strength": 6.942742,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -12.50377,
        "energy": 10.930876,
        "activity_lines": [
          99.17049,
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          98.157613,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 105.400002,
        "volume": 722,
        "typical_volume": 8488.6,
        "trend": 101.768938,
        "fair_value": 68.719029,
        "relative_strength": 9.402595,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 20.211368,
        "energy": 23.158093,
        "activity_lines": [
          101.859803,
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          98.663784,
          100.412049
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 103.0,
        "volume": 3,
        "typical_volume": 7891.7,
        "trend": 102.157249,
        "fair_value": 69.091874,
        "relative_strength": 5.184514,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 14.196106,
        "energy": 26.253658,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 103.309998,
        "volume": 158,
        "typical_volume": 7108.5,
        "trend": 102.458524,
        "fair_value": 69.482921,
        "relative_strength": 6.631164,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 17.417153,
        "energy": 33.986177,
        "activity_lines": [
          103.600725,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 102.360001,
        "volume": 34,
        "typical_volume": 6576.05,
        "trend": 102.64738,
        "fair_value": 69.84896,
        "relative_strength": 2.441067,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 17.291118,
        "energy": 36.840712,
        "activity_lines": [
          103.35155,
          101.571895,
          99.561655,
          100.559486
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 98.980003,
        "volume": 37,
        "typical_volume": 5616.65,
        "trend": 102.508501,
        "fair_value": 70.18114,
        "relative_strength": -1.672247,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -10.842643,
        "energy": 11.128747,
        "activity_lines": [
          101.711334,
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          100.322882
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 99.910004,
        "volume": 1773,
        "typical_volume": 5475.3,
        "trend": 102.094774,
        "fair_value": 70.520539,
        "relative_strength": -2.817955,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -22.10951,
        "energy": 11.561985,
        "activity_lines": [
          100.811335,
          101.415765,
          99.643433,
          100.155237
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 98.660004,
        "volume": 1350,
        "typical_volume": 5146.9,
        "trend": 101.616749,
        "fair_value": 70.862797,
        "relative_strength": -1.760358,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -33.56062,
        "energy": 20.220283,
        "activity_lines": [
          99.86067,
          101.067788,
          99.650842,
          99.933639
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 104.5,
        "volume": 14360,
        "typical_volume": 5406.45,
        "trend": 101.31675,
        "fair_value": 71.250034,
        "relative_strength": 3.695144,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 13.521054,
        "energy": 9.961415,
        "activity_lines": [
          101.146002,
          101.695472,
          100.220163,
          100.119655
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 112.32,
        "volume": 4778,
        "typical_volume": 5273.2,
        "trend": 101.373599,
        "fair_value": 71.690353,
        "relative_strength": 8.668745,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 44.907403,
        "energy": 43.05054,
        "activity_lines": [
          104.958668,
          103.572788,
          101.505388,
          100.829542
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 111.43,
        "volume": 1080,
        "typical_volume": 5216.4,
        "trend": 101.385806,
        "fair_value": 72.143821,
        "relative_strength": 10.81963,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 69.278101,
        "energy": 68.309915,
        "activity_lines": [
          107.810667,
          105.035092,
          102.627852,
          101.478342
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}