{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d2e8e308-368f-410d-87c5-873fe059ae84", "symbol": "CLNE", "name": "Clean Energy Fuels Corp", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -76.303, "architecture_energy": 46.928, "architecture_maturity": 44.0, "architecture_confidence": 90.655, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 20.34, "rotation_up": 23.44, "upward_expansion": 10.9, "deceleration": 40.97, "rotation_down": 55.67, "downward_expansion": 77.23 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.911667, 1.969273, 2.023571, 2.100215 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 1.575, "trend_reference": 2.198167, "distance_from_trend": -0.283494, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 2.636731, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.402669, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -40.814378, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.427273, "excess_performance": -0.614726, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.283494, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.035751, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.402669, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.177611, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.408144, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.20493, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.427273, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.807662, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 12061387, "relative_activity": 1.626051, "balance": 0.807662, "dry_up": 1.15543, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.139131, "annualized_volatility": 0.596705, "from_high_reference": -0.493569, "from_low_reference": 0.003185 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 2.198167, "fair_value_reference": 2.636731, "structural_low": 1.57, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 34, "median_return": 0.029603, "positive_rate": 0.588235, "directional_follow_through": 0.411765, "median_excess_return": -0.004015, "regime_survival": 0.705882, "best_return": 0.484314, "worst_return": -0.188366, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": 0.02384, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.015529, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.269841, "worst_return": -0.28117, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.038923, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.136946, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.363636, "worst_return": -0.323684, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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2.38, "volume": 9363247, "typical_volume": 7220316.1, "trend": 2.228667, "fair_value": 2.689006, "relative_strength": -8.589995, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -6.878363, "energy": 15.017603, "activity_lines": [ 2.160667, 2.066909, 2.111, 2.172753 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 2.03, "volume": 8106697, "typical_volume": 7272330.75, "trend": 2.224, "fair_value": 2.670994, "relative_strength": -20.459533, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -29.187566, "energy": 25.048133, "activity_lines": [ 2.147333, 2.066727, 2.097667, 2.159935 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.94, "volume": 4750694, "typical_volume": 7269885.9, "trend": 2.216667, "fair_value": 2.653686, "relative_strength": -24.107919, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -40.166701, "energy": 24.825126, "activity_lines": [ 2.092667, 2.050182, 2.077429, 2.141613 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.575, "volume": 12061387, "typical_volume": 7417592.75, "trend": 2.198167, "fair_value": 2.636731, "relative_strength": -40.814378, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -76.303272, "energy": 46.927819, "activity_lines": [ 1.911667, 1.969273, 2.023571, 2.100215 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }