{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d2f7bbfa-9197-41c6-9085-6d778880b202", "symbol": "COV", "name": "Cleo Diagnostics Ltd", "exchange": "ASX", "country": "AU", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^AXJO", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -74.56, "architecture_energy": 90.194, "architecture_maturity": 36.0, "architecture_confidence": 84.874, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 6.67, "rotation_up": 8.21, "upward_expansion": 21.98, "deceleration": 37.0, "rotation_down": 79.67, "downward_expansion": 95.31 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.35, 0.400545, 0.47531, 0.505172 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 0.33, "trend_reference": 0.549833, "distance_from_trend": -0.399818, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.375145, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.120341, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -40.087223, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.431034, "excess_performance": -0.49474, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.399818, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.098634, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.120341, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.912009, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.400872, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.724342, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.431034, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.278119, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 621104, "relative_activity": 0.908574, "balance": 0.278119, "dry_up": 1.865342, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.188811, "annualized_volatility": 0.670347, "from_high_reference": -0.633333, "from_low_reference": 0.064516 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.549833, "fair_value_reference": 0.375145, "structural_low": 0.31, 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-31.57129, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -84.589426, "energy": 73.745611, "activity_lines": [ 0.452, 0.484818, 0.533214, 0.550753 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.33, "volume": 826139, "typical_volume": 728810.45, "trend": 0.570167, "fair_value": 0.375637, "relative_strength": -36.973017, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -86.605263, "energy": 87.138298, "activity_lines": [ 0.406333, 0.449727, 0.512524, 0.534613 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.345, "volume": 527383, "typical_volume": 707321.6, "trend": 0.561167, "fair_value": 0.375438, "relative_strength": -35.484208, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -77.787356, "energy": 90.194691, "activity_lines": [ 0.376333, 0.423909, 0.494262, 0.520086 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.33, "volume": 621104, "typical_volume": 683603.4, "trend": 0.549833, "fair_value": 0.375145, "relative_strength": -40.087223, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.559677, "energy": 90.194161, "activity_lines": [ 0.35, 0.400545, 0.47531, 0.505172 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }