{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "d308e514-22ff-4bed-bdc5-6734a226bcdc",
    "symbol": "NKSH",
    "name": "National Bankshares Inc",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 83.736,
    "architecture_energy": 76.897,
    "architecture_maturity": 14.755,
    "architecture_confidence": 78.359,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 19.65,
        "rotation_up": 78.78,
        "upward_expansion": 91.42,
        "deceleration": 42.01,
        "rotation_down": 9.16,
        "downward_expansion": 15.76
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        39.464667,
        38.145818,
        36.99392,
        36.655244
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 42.11,
    "trend_reference": 36.319212,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.159441,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 28.514999,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.476767,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 10.431961,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.104488,
    "excess_performance": -0.082966,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.159441,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.061592,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.476767,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.146005,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.10432,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.109881,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.104488,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.969959,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 243560,
      "relative_activity": 1.161793,
      "balance": 1.969959,
      "dry_up": 0.893243,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.058854,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.262668,
      "from_high_reference": -0.008943,
      "from_low_reference": 0.635643
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 36.319212,
      "fair_value_reference": 28.514999,
      "structural_low": 33.215,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 23,
        "median_return": 0.006851,
        "positive_rate": 0.565217,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.565217,
        "median_excess_return": -0.025835,
        "regime_survival": 0.652174,
        "best_return": 0.156031,
        "worst_return": -0.16465,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "regime_survival": 0.4,
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        "worst_return": -0.244372,
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      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
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        "worst_return": -0.179347,
        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "typical_volume": 143134.4,
        "trend": 32.886242,
        "fair_value": 27.394374,
        "relative_strength": 1.580421,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 162629.4,
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 173808.3,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 174590.25,
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        "fair_value": 27.771923,
        "relative_strength": -8.120005,
        "stage": 3,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 34.8,
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        "typical_volume": 177631.65,
        "trend": 34.424868,
        "fair_value": 27.829335,
        "relative_strength": -4.881302,
        "stage": 3,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 36.33,
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        "typical_volume": 181042.75,
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        "fair_value": 27.894516,
        "relative_strength": -3.062575,
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "relative_strength": -8.321205,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "typical_volume": 189012.2,
        "trend": 35.18688,
        "fair_value": 28.026304,
        "relative_strength": 2.187919,
        "stage": 3,
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        "energy": 28.595246,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 36.55,
        "volume": 97566,
        "typical_volume": 190403.15,
        "trend": 35.432964,
        "fair_value": 28.098571,
        "relative_strength": -1.668286,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 46.647781,
        "energy": 28.981053,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 35.92,
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        "typical_volume": 193794.05,
        "trend": 35.535334,
        "fair_value": 28.168894,
        "relative_strength": -5.037448,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 35.126633,
        "energy": 27.679853,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 36.59,
        "volume": 192782,
        "typical_volume": 199366.85,
        "trend": 35.628706,
        "fair_value": 28.235356,
        "relative_strength": 0.773338,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Re-acceleration watch",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 39.819187,
        "energy": 30.747461,
        "activity_lines": [
          36.46,
          36.129218,
          35.876888,
          35.883887
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 36.64,
        "volume": 135807,
        "typical_volume": 201683.7,
        "trend": 35.744632,
        "fair_value": 28.305886,
        "relative_strength": 2.363984,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Re-acceleration watch",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 47.372047,
        "energy": 25.03905,
        "activity_lines": [
          36.538667,
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          35.949132
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 40.6,
        "volume": 176894,
        "typical_volume": 205843.4,
        "trend": 36.020626,
        "fair_value": 28.402682,
        "relative_strength": 12.305023,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Re-acceleration watch",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 78.237151,
        "energy": 57.585665,
        "activity_lines": [
          37.848,
          37.136364,
          36.414232,
          36.262381
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 42.11,
        "volume": 243560,
        "typical_volume": 209641.5,
        "trend": 36.319212,
        "fair_value": 28.514999,
        "relative_strength": 10.431961,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 83.735686,
        "energy": 76.897318,
        "activity_lines": [
          39.464667,
          38.145818,
          36.99392,
          36.655244
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}