{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d30de4c2-3c41-4b42-a255-e49cba03865e", "symbol": "USSH", "name": "WISDOMTREE 1-3 YEAR LADDERED TREASURY FUND", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 81.02, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -14.881, "architecture_energy": 9.664, "architecture_maturity": 34.471, "architecture_confidence": 44.156, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 60.38, "rotation_up": 27.89, "upward_expansion": 18.58, "deceleration": 39.29, "rotation_down": 28.25, "downward_expansion": 57.25 }, "activity_lines": [ 50.167367, 50.151284, 50.158724, 50.179102 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 50.26, "trend_reference": 50.201197, "distance_from_trend": 0.001171, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 48.601691, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.03412, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -12.30652, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.0001, "excess_performance": -0.187553, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.001171, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.001156, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.03412, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.002749, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.123065, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.038926, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.0001, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.615489, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1792, "relative_activity": 0.278746, "balance": 0.615489, "dry_up": 0.705225, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.00242, "annualized_volatility": 0.014364, "from_high_reference": -0.004315, "from_low_reference": 0.021432 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 50.201197, "fair_value_reference": 48.601691, "structural_low": 49.969526, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.002783, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.009179, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.003292, "worst_return": -0.00229, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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-12.599706, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -11.895604, "energy": 10.565188, "activity_lines": [ 50.15746, 50.15358, 50.187449, 50.197875 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 50.125015, "volume": 1478, "typical_volume": 7500.95, "trend": 50.187633, "fair_value": 48.537875, "relative_strength": -12.984293, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -20.480351, "energy": 13.143127, "activity_lines": [ 50.143937, 50.147057, 50.177898, 50.194272 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 50.095104, "volume": 4594, "typical_volume": 7230.75, "trend": 50.191637, "fair_value": 48.550639, "relative_strength": -14.183362, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.279022, "energy": 36.223596, "activity_lines": [ 50.127111, 50.137181, 50.166777, 50.188303 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 50.159911, "volume": 9733, "typical_volume": 7434.4, "trend": 50.19533, "fair_value": 48.563722, "relative_strength": -10.009396, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -46.912887, "energy": 32.747069, "activity_lines": [ 50.132041, 50.140451, 50.163061, 50.186256 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 50.065194, "volume": 2273, "typical_volume": 6732.2, "trend": 50.194823, "fair_value": 48.575831, "relative_strength": -8.421553, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.36503, "energy": 44.311868, "activity_lines": [ 50.108744, 50.127409, 50.15179, 50.17786 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 50.15, "volume": 4337, "typical_volume": 6724.05, "trend": 50.195931, "fair_value": 48.588424, "relative_strength": -8.407312, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -49.42967, "energy": 30.082077, "activity_lines": [ 50.120382, 50.129886, 50.149876, 50.174968 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 50.26, "volume": 1792, "typical_volume": 6428.8, "trend": 50.201197, "fair_value": 48.601691, "relative_strength": -12.30652, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -14.881425, "energy": 9.663567, "activity_lines": [ 50.167367, 50.151284, 50.158724, 50.179102 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }