{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "d30f5fec-8311-42fb-932a-1eb611b9fd9a",
    "symbol": "UCYB",
    "name": "PROSHARES ULTRA NASDAQ CYBERSECURITY",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 81.878,
    "architecture_energy": 62.776,
    "architecture_maturity": 51.285,
    "architecture_confidence": 90.913,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 6.79,
        "rotation_up": 65.21,
        "upward_expansion": 85.34,
        "deceleration": 61.5,
        "rotation_down": 22.18,
        "downward_expansion": 9.67
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        71.531415,
        64.579672
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 89.121,
    "trend_reference": 57.12814,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.560019,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 47.14651,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.890299,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 37.452313,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.95625,
    "excess_performance": 0.768797,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.560019,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.135557,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.890299,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.61834,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.374523,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.513883,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.95625,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.406815,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 63744,
      "relative_activity": 2.543026,
      "balance": 2.406815,
      "dry_up": 1.413936,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.106854,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.612634,
      "from_high_reference": -0.043458,
      "from_low_reference": 1.473522
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 57.12814,
      "fair_value_reference": 47.14651,
      "structural_low": 36.03,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 22,
        "median_return": 0.025788,
        "positive_rate": 0.590909,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.590909,
        "median_excess_return": 0.001669,
        "regime_survival": 0.681818,
        "best_return": 0.148806,
        "worst_return": -0.118479,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "worst_return": -0.227976,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "regime": "balance",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "typical_volume": 14936.0,
        "trend": 49.706275,
        "fair_value": 43.053953,
        "relative_strength": -24.405306,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 15741.75,
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        "relative_strength": -13.935956,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 16375.75,
        "trend": 49.631207,
        "fair_value": 43.491784,
        "relative_strength": -4.729176,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 49.475918,
        "energy": 56.090488,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 17575.2,
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        "relative_strength": 7.068285,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 56.37549,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 18530.25,
        "trend": 50.308495,
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        "relative_strength": 15.426752,
        "stage": 3,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "typical_volume": 20500.3,
        "trend": 50.74028,
        "fair_value": 44.369747,
        "relative_strength": 14.158587,
        "stage": 3,
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        "energy": 91.219652,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "volume": 14611,
        "typical_volume": 20826.75,
        "trend": 51.132744,
        "fair_value": 44.626382,
        "relative_strength": 7.982952,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "typical_volume": 20117.95,
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        "fair_value": 45.154747,
        "relative_strength": 10.873062,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 62.850717,
        "energy": 58.755761,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 78.0,
        "volume": 21000,
        "typical_volume": 20083.85,
        "trend": 52.780872,
        "fair_value": 45.480528,
        "relative_strength": 23.816178,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "volume": 20949,
        "typical_volume": 20667.55,
        "trend": 53.558714,
        "fair_value": 45.80774,
        "relative_strength": 23.655095,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 75.988575,
        "energy": 64.415051,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 79.9756,
        "volume": 22108,
        "typical_volume": 20261.75,
        "trend": 54.394889,
        "fair_value": 46.137574,
        "relative_strength": 29.599531,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 71.632909,
        "energy": 67.218756,
        "activity_lines": [
          77.202551,
          74.338604,
          65.391208,
          59.655929
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 73.2669,
        "volume": 20859,
        "typical_volume": 20731.65,
        "trend": 55.009093,
        "fair_value": 46.41912,
        "relative_strength": 20.604294,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 62.619182,
        "energy": 57.858896,
        "activity_lines": [
          76.65666,
          74.562551,
          66.8967,
          60.873478
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 79.2853,
        "volume": 35057,
        "typical_volume": 22039.3,
        "trend": 55.951204,
        "fair_value": 46.751382,
        "relative_strength": 29.333483,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.908935,
        "energy": 56.320073,
        "activity_lines": [
          77.753953,
          75.647614,
          68.833779,
          62.439685
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 89.121,
        "volume": 63744,
        "typical_volume": 25066.2,
        "trend": 57.12814,
        "fair_value": 47.14651,
        "relative_strength": 37.452313,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 81.878274,
        "energy": 62.77601,
        "activity_lines": [
          81.46282,
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          71.531415,
          64.579672
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}