{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d311fb0a-ba1c-46d9-a038-d6aafb0bc0db", "symbol": "DFIV", "name": "DIMENSIONAL ETF TRUST INTERNATIONAL VALUE ETF", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 85.359, "architecture_energy": 86.418, "architecture_maturity": 37.515, "architecture_confidence": 71.142, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 14.4, "rotation_up": 84.75, "upward_expansion": 96.97, "deceleration": 39.04, "rotation_down": 9.06, "downward_expansion": 18.97 }, "activity_lines": [ 56.914667, 56.052832, 55.32948, 54.824106 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 57.98, "trend_reference": 54.240648, "distance_from_trend": 0.06894, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 40.353044, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.436819, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 1.278871, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.06554, "excess_performance": -0.060085, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.06894, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.044287, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.436819, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.015206, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.012789, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.001246, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.06554, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.237783, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 6304728, "relative_activity": 1.055427, "balance": 2.237783, "dry_up": 1.073234, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.021597, "annualized_volatility": 0.155135, "from_high_reference": -0.00155, "from_low_reference": 0.325163 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 54.240648, "fair_value_reference": 40.353044, "structural_low": 50.421514, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 34, "median_return": 0.018435, "positive_rate": 0.647059, "directional_follow_through": 0.647059, "median_excess_return": -0.004262, "regime_survival": 0.823529, "best_return": 0.070376, "worst_return": -0.065024, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.043298, "positive_rate": 0.727273, "directional_follow_through": 0.727273, "median_excess_return": -0.009506, "regime_survival": 0.818182, "best_return": 0.204568, "worst_return": -0.071632, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.083631, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": -0.060717, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.232142, "worst_return": -0.031436, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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"activity_lines": [ 55.505333, 55.104156, 54.686189, 54.341209 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 57.27, "volume": 7412453, "typical_volume": 6177697.25, "trend": 53.996683, "fair_value": 40.177534, "relative_strength": 3.690972, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 80.910637, "energy": 78.054127, "activity_lines": [ 56.204667, 55.536976, 54.987717, 54.567118 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 57.98, "volume": 6304728, "typical_volume": 5973629.05, "trend": 54.240648, "fair_value": 40.353044, "relative_strength": 1.278871, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 85.359003, "energy": 86.418497, "activity_lines": [ 56.914667, 56.052832, 55.32948, 54.824106 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }