{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d31516ac-c249-42a1-9a72-26e6a509f93d", "symbol": "ADUR", "name": "Aduro Clean Technologies Inc. Common Stock", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 43.051, "architecture_energy": 21.461, "architecture_maturity": 70.241, "architecture_confidence": 94.873, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 35.13, "rotation_up": 33.16, "upward_expansion": 57.86, "deceleration": 84.45, "rotation_down": 33.14, "downward_expansion": 21.53 }, "activity_lines": [ 14.454, 14.622364, 14.402571, 13.714344 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 16.1, "trend_reference": 13.086, "distance_from_trend": 0.230322, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 7.431304, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.166511, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 9.566526, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.387931, "excess_performance": 0.200477, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.230322, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.069147, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.166511, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.054925, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.095665, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.128446, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.387931, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.446932, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2167603, "relative_activity": 0.964139, "balance": 2.446932, "dry_up": 1.315459, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.165016, "annualized_volatility": 0.624108, "from_high_reference": -0.114898, "from_low_reference": 0.788889 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 13.086, "fair_value_reference": 7.431304, "structural_low": 9.0, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 27, "median_return": 0.029839, "positive_rate": 0.555556, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": 0.018121, "regime_survival": 0.851852, "best_return": 0.361111, "worst_return": -0.245248, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.026224, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.061832, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.374153, "worst_return": -0.110395, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.188811, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.100222, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.414781, "worst_return": 0.027639, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"trend": 12.876, "fair_value": 7.267751, "relative_strength": -6.815324, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 28.631992, "energy": 13.984935, "activity_lines": [ 14.144, 14.552, 14.096476, 13.454925 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 13.78, "volume": 2333691, "typical_volume": 2216832.0, "trend": 12.983, "fair_value": 7.342131, "relative_strength": -1.22257, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 28.654819, "energy": 16.668745, "activity_lines": [ 13.864667, 14.368909, 14.145286, 13.513247 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 16.1, "volume": 2167603, "typical_volume": 2248227.0, "trend": 13.086, "fair_value": 7.431304, "relative_strength": 9.566526, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 43.050533, "energy": 21.460789, "activity_lines": [ 14.454, 14.622364, 14.402571, 13.714344 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }