{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "d31d40ca-ee04-496c-9afc-6ca726ec069e",
    "symbol": "PAR",
    "name": "Parlem Telecom Companyia de Telecomunicacions, S.A.",
    "exchange": "MCE",
    "country": "ES",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^IBEX",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 94.129,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -48.384,
    "architecture_energy": 48.457,
    "architecture_maturity": 100.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 80.791,
    "architecture_tenure": "Extended",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 23.78,
        "rotation_up": 27.98,
        "upward_expansion": 26.34,
        "deceleration": 46.92,
        "rotation_down": 39.06,
        "downward_expansion": 65.0
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.866,
        0.846909,
        0.886429,
        1.109118
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 0.88,
    "trend_reference": 1.479833,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.405338,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 2.888893,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.695385,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -65.428375,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.65625,
    "excess_performance": -0.780681,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.405338,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.296044,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.695385,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.072663,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.654284,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.12058,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.65625,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.468507,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 123017,
      "relative_activity": 1.339765,
      "balance": 2.468507,
      "dry_up": 1.987193,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.143357,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.83881,
      "from_high_reference": -0.741176,
      "from_low_reference": 0.396825
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 1.479833,
      "fair_value_reference": 2.888893,
      "structural_low": 0.63,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 24,
        "median_return": 0.010854,
        "positive_rate": 0.541667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.416667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.039395,
        "regime_survival": 0.875,
        "best_return": 0.338028,
        "worst_return": -0.477941,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": -0.100671,
        "positive_rate": 0.428571,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.571429,
        "median_excess_return": -0.206771,
        "regime_survival": 0.571429,
        "best_return": 0.214035,
        "worst_return": -0.507463,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.050301,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.227551,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.235088,
        "worst_return": -0.557047,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.126506,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.354113,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.192982,
        "worst_return": -0.28125,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2024-03-08",
        "end": "2024-03-22",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.028169,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-03-29",
        "end": "2024-05-24",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.027778,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-06-14",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.040462,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2024-07-12",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.044693,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2024-08-09",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.069767,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2024-08-23",
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        "return": 0.048485,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-02-14",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.058824,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-02-21",
        "end": "2025-05-16",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.03125,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "return": 0.03681,
        "active": false
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      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "trend": 2.310333,
        "fair_value": 3.060976,
        "relative_strength": -77.486334,
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 58578.35,
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "relative_strength": -68.026476,
        "stage": 4,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "volume": 72515,
        "typical_volume": 59024.9,
        "trend": 1.741167,
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        "relative_strength": -72.715361,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
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        "direction": -72.327899,
        "energy": 81.549547,
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          0.794,
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          1.003762,
          1.308645
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 0.82,
        "volume": 19997,
        "typical_volume": 59086.2,
        "trend": 1.675167,
        "fair_value": 2.931777,
        "relative_strength": -68.993588,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -65.147461,
        "energy": 71.668278,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.795333,
          0.825545,
          0.959786,
          1.249215
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 0.92,
        "volume": 379266,
        "typical_volume": 76425.75,
        "trend": 1.6105,
        "fair_value": 2.918444,
        "relative_strength": -64.869954,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -63.429032,
        "energy": 60.433636,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.836,
          0.840727,
          0.932381,
          1.200495
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.86,
        "volume": 207575,
        "typical_volume": 86057.85,
        "trend": 1.545833,
        "fair_value": 2.903444,
        "relative_strength": -66.504783,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -52.21878,
        "energy": 55.044608,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.848667,
          0.842273,
          0.905167,
          1.152075
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.88,
        "volume": 123017,
        "typical_volume": 91819.85,
        "trend": 1.479833,
        "fair_value": 2.888893,
        "relative_strength": -65.428375,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -48.383503,
        "energy": 48.45667,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.866,
          0.846909,
          0.886429,
          1.109118
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}