{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "d3253313-6f00-420a-af9b-cc4da2ebe408",
    "symbol": "JIG",
    "name": "JP MORGAN ETF TRUST INTERNATIONAL GROWTH ETF",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 68.748,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 30.727,
    "architecture_energy": 20.745,
    "architecture_maturity": 53.218,
    "architecture_confidence": 81.154,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 42.96,
        "rotation_up": 23.12,
        "upward_expansion": 53.25,
        "deceleration": 90.64,
        "rotation_down": 40.36,
        "downward_expansion": 23.92
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        82.411333,
        83.221364,
        83.059719,
        81.901856
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 84.45,
    "trend_reference": 80.541673,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.048526,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 66.197027,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.275737,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -2.53725,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.082692,
    "excess_performance": -0.042933,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.048526,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.044317,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.275737,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.038108,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.025373,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.039167,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.082692,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.19408,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 118710,
      "relative_activity": 0.783895,
      "balance": 1.19408,
      "dry_up": 0.88799,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.044414,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.232086,
      "from_high_reference": -0.05155,
      "from_low_reference": 0.220633
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 80.541673,
      "fair_value_reference": 66.197027,
      "structural_low": 70.965,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.042065,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.004365,
        "regime_survival": 0.428571,
        "best_return": 0.130293,
        "worst_return": 0.011952,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.104298,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.003169,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.182715,
        "worst_return": 0.036412,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.07313,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.073321,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.160948,
        "worst_return": 0.027241,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.131531,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.090191,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.185258,
        "worst_return": 0.077805,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2023-09-29",
        "end": "2023-12-01",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.064228,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2023-12-08",
        "end": "2024-01-26",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.051494,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-02-02",
        "end": "2024-04-19",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.010178,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-04-26",
        "end": "2024-05-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.043917,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-05-24",
        "end": "2024-11-08",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.034388,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-11-15",
        "end": "2025-03-28",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.019807,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-04",
        "end": "2025-04-25",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.107803,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-05-02",
        "end": "2025-05-16",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.021266,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-05-23",
        "end": "2025-11-21",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.047648,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-11-28",
        "end": "2026-01-09",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.057287,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2026-03-20",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.061457,
        "active": false
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      {
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        "active": false
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      {
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        "return": -0.000246,
        "active": false
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "return": 0.047637,
        "active": true
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "fair_value": 65.517706,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 81.29,
        "volume": 154642,
        "typical_volume": 154244.15,
        "trend": 79.83934,
        "fair_value": 65.678796,
        "relative_strength": -2.50685,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 36.871848,
        "energy": 23.250488,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 80.61,
        "volume": 141717,
        "typical_volume": 151489.2,
        "trend": 80.06134,
        "fair_value": 65.831712,
        "relative_strength": -2.702899,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 21.923227,
        "energy": 15.667866,
        "activity_lines": [
          82.468,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 81.27,
        "volume": 122826,
        "typical_volume": 151816.2,
        "trend": 80.28334,
        "fair_value": 66.003004,
        "relative_strength": -2.940219,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 17.908032,
        "energy": 17.604534,
        "activity_lines": [
          81.781333,
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          82.76853,
          81.633039
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 84.45,
        "volume": 118710,
        "typical_volume": 151436.1,
        "trend": 80.541673,
        "fair_value": 66.197027,
        "relative_strength": -2.53725,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 30.726981,
        "energy": 20.744885,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}