{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d329d34e-ca40-42d6-8284-9b0651071535", "symbol": "SYRE", "name": "Spyre Therapeutics Inc.", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 73.855, "architecture_energy": 67.043, "architecture_maturity": 72.0, "architecture_confidence": 83.762, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 7.31, "rotation_up": 69.72, "upward_expansion": 87.49, "deceleration": 53.23, "rotation_down": 18.43, "downward_expansion": 11.82 }, "activity_lines": [ 101.497333, 96.802182, 87.666167, 78.159495 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 104.91, "trend_reference": 65.098333, "distance_from_trend": 0.611562, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 31.193974, "distance_from_fair_value": 2.36315, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 100.885183, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 1.987187, "excess_performance": 1.799733, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.611562, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.471492, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 2.36315, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.315393, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 1.008852, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.160101, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 1.987187, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.968533, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3748968, "relative_activity": 0.609009, "balance": 0.968533, "dry_up": 0.811849, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.106142, "annualized_volatility": 0.607449, "from_high_reference": -0.029869, "from_low_reference": 6.232678 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 65.098333, "fair_value_reference": 31.193974, "structural_low": 32.35, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 17, "median_return": 0.117201, "positive_rate": 0.705882, "directional_follow_through": 0.705882, "median_excess_return": 0.126449, "regime_survival": 0.882353, "best_return": 0.583716, "worst_return": -0.092925, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.418343, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.397247, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 1.927097, "worst_return": -0.305488, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.803442, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.598801, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 1.981172, "worst_return": 0.082697, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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30.048221, "relative_strength": 120.261161, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 78.733894, "energy": 83.984303, "activity_lines": [ 97.729333, 91.743636, 82.439071, 72.981753 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 98.33, "volume": 4872727, "typical_volume": 6214790.0, "trend": 62.621667, "fair_value": 30.601603, "relative_strength": 104.327973, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.897589, "energy": 75.134377, "activity_lines": [ 98.864667, 93.895455, 84.878429, 75.431215 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 104.91, "volume": 3748968, "typical_volume": 6155854.35, "trend": 65.098333, "fair_value": 31.193974, "relative_strength": 100.885183, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.855443, "energy": 67.042673, "activity_lines": [ 101.497333, 96.802182, 87.666167, 78.159495 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }