{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "d32d71dc-fd70-4e7b-8145-fea2dc2139f3",
    "symbol": "TAE",
    "name": "Thai Agro Energy Public Company Limited",
    "exchange": "SET",
    "country": "TH",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^SET.BK",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 60.034,
    "architecture_energy": 51.595,
    "architecture_maturity": 32.443,
    "architecture_confidence": 88.06,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 22.32,
        "rotation_up": 52.15,
        "upward_expansion": 78.89,
        "deceleration": 60.97,
        "rotation_down": 24.2,
        "downward_expansion": 7.89
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        1.598,
        1.559636,
        1.501238,
        1.357677
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 1.53,
    "trend_reference": 1.130333,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.353583,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 0.871538,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.755516,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 55.700492,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 2.1875,
    "excess_performance": 1.995175,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.353583,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.446055,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.755516,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.113779,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.557005,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.333091,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.1875,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 3.14666,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 34636800,
      "relative_activity": 0.705054,
      "balance": 3.14666,
      "dry_up": 0.624874,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.108597,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.76024,
      "from_high_reference": -0.15,
      "from_low_reference": 2.4
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 1.130333,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.871538,
      "structural_low": 0.47,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.011878,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.020273,
        "regime_survival": 0.75,
        "best_return": 0.57,
        "worst_return": -0.159664,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": 0.159664,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.093813,
        "regime_survival": 1.0,
        "best_return": 0.159664,
        "worst_return": 0.159664,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 0,
        "median_return": null,
        "positive_rate": null,
        "directional_follow_through": null,
        "median_excess_return": null,
        "regime_survival": null,
        "best_return": null,
        "worst_return": null,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 0,
        "median_return": null,
        "positive_rate": null,
        "directional_follow_through": null,
        "median_excess_return": null,
        "regime_survival": null,
        "best_return": null,
        "worst_return": null,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2023-10-13",
        "end": "2024-02-09",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.034483,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-02-16",
        "end": "2024-04-05",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.157407,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-04-12",
        "end": "2024-08-30",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.032258,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2024-09-13",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.057471,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2024-10-18",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.022222,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2024-12-13",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.089888,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-12-20",
        "end": "2025-01-24",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.078947,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-01-31",
        "end": "2025-07-11",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.089552,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-08-22",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.079365,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-08-29",
        "end": "2026-03-06",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.017241,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.42029,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "return": 0.218487,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "color": "amber",
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        "return": 0.108108,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": true
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      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 49103390.0,
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        "fair_value": 0.866923,
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        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
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        "activity_lines": [
          1.500667,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 50553215.0,
        "trend": 1.056333,
        "fair_value": 0.868526,
        "relative_strength": 69.293814,
        "stage": 2,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 1.68,
        "volume": 10211000,
        "typical_volume": 50154400.0,
        "trend": 1.095667,
        "fair_value": 0.870449,
        "relative_strength": 72.337785,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.673803,
        "energy": 52.407489,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.611333,
          1.565273,
          1.486571,
          1.329656
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 1.53,
        "volume": 34636800,
        "typical_volume": 49126425.0,
        "trend": 1.130333,
        "fair_value": 0.871538,
        "relative_strength": 55.700492,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 60.033501,
        "energy": 51.594948,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}