{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "d32e8a62-0e64-42b3-be06-2c522c6c4f41",
    "symbol": "UHS",
    "name": "Universal Health Services Inc",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch",
    "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": 3.768,
    "architecture_energy": 15.421,
    "architecture_maturity": 94.552,
    "architecture_confidence": 59.111,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 60.21,
        "rotation_up": 39.08,
        "upward_expansion": 28.87,
        "deceleration": 47.28,
        "rotation_down": 14.17,
        "downward_expansion": 46.2
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        164.44,
        158.629583,
        158.217057,
        165.349165
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 173.54,
    "trend_reference": 176.972796,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.019397,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 179.857672,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.035126,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -19.359245,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.204103,
    "excess_performance": -0.329728,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.019397,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.119177,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.035126,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.014853,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.193592,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.037138,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.204103,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.787288,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 3487671,
      "relative_activity": 0.763783,
      "balance": 0.787288,
      "dry_up": 1.108464,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.070042,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.337755,
      "from_high_reference": -0.293224,
      "from_low_reference": 0.238864
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 176.972796,
      "fair_value_reference": 179.857672,
      "structural_low": 140.08,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 22,
        "median_return": 0.020303,
        "positive_rate": 0.590909,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.409091,
        "median_excess_return": 0.01877,
        "regime_survival": 0.772727,
        "best_return": 0.365523,
        "worst_return": -0.12509,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 9,
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        "positive_rate": 0.555556,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.444444,
        "median_excess_return": 0.037408,
        "regime_survival": 0.444444,
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        "worst_return": -0.154753,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
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        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": 0.117936,
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        "worst_return": -0.016819,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
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        "worst_return": -0.331908,
        "sufficient": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2024-04-19",
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        "return": -0.00096,
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "end": "2025-05-09",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "end": "2025-07-25",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "regime": "balance",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
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      },
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 4442489.25,
        "trend": 182.148539,
        "fair_value": 179.225928,
        "relative_strength": -27.534103,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -45.225073,
        "energy": 36.540109,
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          152.374667,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 155.75,
        "volume": 4269615,
        "typical_volume": 4453335.95,
        "trend": 179.770148,
        "fair_value": 179.34695,
        "relative_strength": -24.71205,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -39.647491,
        "energy": 26.905761,
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          154.163333,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 168.44,
        "volume": 7953950,
        "typical_volume": 4616147.2,
        "trend": 178.072812,
        "fair_value": 179.577016,
        "relative_strength": -19.247557,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -25.296598,
        "energy": 19.475986,
        "activity_lines": [
          159.21,
          154.593271,
          157.205914,
          165.641604
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 173.54,
        "volume": 3487671,
        "typical_volume": 4566310.0,
        "trend": 176.972796,
        "fair_value": 179.857672,
        "relative_strength": -19.359245,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": 3.767995,
        "energy": 15.421172,
        "activity_lines": [
          164.44,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}