{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d333784b-74cc-43f7-8f43-4fbab4707c70", "symbol": "SCN", "name": "Scan Inter Public Company Limited", "exchange": "SET", "country": "TH", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SET.BK", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 29.326, "architecture_energy": 12.684, "architecture_maturity": 21.1, "architecture_confidence": 77.804, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 58.88, "rotation_up": 24.5, "upward_expansion": 50.39, "deceleration": 89.55, "rotation_down": 22.62, "downward_expansion": 16.39 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.409333, 0.411818, 0.409667, 0.401656 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 0.41, "trend_reference": 0.390333, "distance_from_trend": 0.050384, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.76143, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.46154, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -16.818545, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.108108, "excess_performance": -0.084217, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.050384, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.008613, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.46154, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.118126, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.168185, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.111612, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.108108, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 14.140614, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1000700, "relative_activity": 0.202013, "balance": 14.140614, "dry_up": 0.150505, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.097561, "annualized_volatility": 0.565442, "from_high_reference": -0.38806, "from_low_reference": 0.366667 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.390333, "fair_value_reference": 0.76143, "structural_low": 0.3, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": 0.013671, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.007727, "regime_survival": 0.642857, "best_return": 0.222222, "worst_return": -0.111111, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.012924, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.059731, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.301886, "worst_return": -0.347222, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.163559, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.190007, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.080179, "worst_return": -0.430556, "sufficient": false }, { 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"balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-11-15", "end": "2024-11-29", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.097222, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-12-06", "end": "2025-07-18", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.308824, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-07-25", "end": "2025-08-29", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.266667, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-09-05", "end": "2025-10-10", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.105263, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-10-17", "end": "2025-11-14", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.22, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-11-21", "end": "2025-12-26", "tenure": 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"gate": "up", "direction": 49.54083, "energy": 28.867786, "activity_lines": [ 0.420667, 0.420545, 0.404048, 0.395527 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 0.4, "volume": 1502600, "typical_volume": 5093430.0, "trend": 0.388333, "fair_value": 0.789135, "relative_strength": -21.768795, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 35.079603, "energy": 18.295822, "activity_lines": [ 0.412667, 0.418364, 0.404619, 0.396258 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.41, "volume": 730300, "typical_volume": 5030000.0, "trend": 0.389, "fair_value": 0.782146, "relative_strength": -19.988517, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 31.143446, "energy": 16.324683, "activity_lines": [ 0.41, 0.417273, 0.406143, 0.397656 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.41, "volume": 666100, "typical_volume": 4988850.0, "trend": 0.389333, "fair_value": 0.77522, "relative_strength": -19.620664, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 29.558411, "energy": 16.273563, "activity_lines": [ 0.408667, 0.415273, 0.407619, 0.399011 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.41, "volume": 585100, "typical_volume": 4958960.0, "trend": 0.389667, "fair_value": 0.768483, "relative_strength": -18.034994, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 29.057682, "energy": 14.922194, "activity_lines": [ 0.408667, 0.413455, 0.408762, 0.400344 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.41, "volume": 1000700, "typical_volume": 4953640.0, "trend": 0.390333, "fair_value": 0.76143, "relative_strength": -16.818545, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 29.326247, "energy": 12.684472, "activity_lines": [ 0.409333, 0.411818, 0.409667, 0.401656 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }