{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d33f6d24-1338-46b4-b85c-9e28dfa79b5b", "symbol": "DMX", "name": "DOUBLELINE MULTI-SECTOR INCOME ETF", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 60.845, "architecture_energy": 32.039, "architecture_maturity": 28.436, "architecture_confidence": 48.025, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 42.66, "rotation_up": 42.0, "upward_expansion": 71.51, "deceleration": 67.05, "rotation_down": 22.74, "downward_expansion": 2.84 }, "activity_lines": [ 49.891492, 49.882851, 49.834818, 49.762165 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 50.0306, "trend_reference": 49.68273, "distance_from_trend": 0.007002, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 48.201308, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.037951, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -9.606786, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.008292, "excess_performance": -0.117333, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.007002, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.005442, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.037951, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -2.8e-05, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.096068, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.003522, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.008292, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.232511, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 45433, "relative_activity": 0.856446, "balance": 1.232511, "dry_up": 0.821369, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.004956, "annualized_volatility": 0.02394, "from_high_reference": -0.001186, "from_low_reference": 0.044612 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 49.68273, "fair_value_reference": 48.201308, "structural_low": 49.048969, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.00105, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.021271, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.004178, "worst_return": -0.002078, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, 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57.367115, "energy": 51.793748, "activity_lines": [ 49.893386, 49.834639, 49.746061, 49.683512 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 49.822425, "volume": 56943, "typical_volume": 56116.0, "trend": 49.609015, "fair_value": 48.1212, "relative_strength": -8.794705, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 53.914747, "energy": 37.178108, "activity_lines": [ 49.874524, 49.842208, 49.761426, 49.698883 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 49.927326, "volume": 48184, "typical_volume": 56590.8, "trend": 49.633103, "fair_value": 48.142449, "relative_strength": -6.931603, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.395711, "energy": 33.939599, "activity_lines": [ 49.88503, 49.865723, 49.786281, 49.719419 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 49.763207, "volume": 50666, "typical_volume": 54271.9, "trend": 49.647972, "fair_value": 48.161295, "relative_strength": -6.476524, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 38.268171, "energy": 20.67259, "activity_lines": [ 49.840752, 49.855977, 49.794085, 49.727813 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 49.813169, "volume": 30006, "typical_volume": 52850.3, "trend": 49.663344, "fair_value": 48.180282, "relative_strength": -7.122874, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 35.502942, "energy": 18.646285, "activity_lines": [ 49.825411, 49.851103, 49.805506, 49.738471 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 50.0306, "volume": 45433, "typical_volume": 53048.3, "trend": 49.68273, "fair_value": 48.201308, "relative_strength": -9.606786, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.844811, "energy": 32.038874, "activity_lines": [ 49.891492, 49.882851, 49.834818, 49.762165 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }