{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d34c87ad-596a-40c3-9628-c705e141107e", "symbol": "EDGE", "name": "Evolve Innovation Index Fund ETF", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 55.355, "architecture_energy": 37.14, "architecture_maturity": 65.088, "architecture_confidence": 79.491, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 22.13, "rotation_up": 36.77, "upward_expansion": 64.13, "deceleration": 85.22, "rotation_down": 27.89, "downward_expansion": 23.13 }, "activity_lines": [ 49.968, 50.190817, 49.573877, 47.829457 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 50.91, "trend_reference": 45.822453, "distance_from_trend": 0.111027, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 39.13684, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.30082, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -0.09871, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.234487, "excess_performance": 0.114065, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.111027, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.045665, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.30082, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.019223, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.000987, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.011732, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.234487, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.122137, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3900, "relative_activity": 1.331058, "balance": 1.122137, "dry_up": 1.237201, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.031108, "annualized_volatility": 0.199723, "from_high_reference": -0.029752, "from_low_reference": 0.311027 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 45.822453, "fair_value_reference": 39.13684, "structural_low": 38.832165, "invalidation": "A sustained 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"2025-01-31", "end": "2025-03-21", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.060704, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-03-28", "end": "2025-04-18", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.049383, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-04-25", "end": "2025-05-23", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.076611, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-05-30", "end": "2025-07-04", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.06582, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-07-11", "end": "2025-11-21", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.025725, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-11-28", "end": "2026-02-06", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.071937, "active": false 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2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.618293, "energy": 61.858406, "activity_lines": [ 50.86233, 50.737829, 48.403823, 46.696382 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 49.599998, "volume": 3300, "typical_volume": 3320.0, "trend": 45.248558, "fair_value": 38.791083, "relative_strength": -0.210953, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 51.496868, "energy": 51.944768, "activity_lines": [ 50.465167, 50.600692, 48.744336, 46.989788 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 48.759998, "volume": 2100, "typical_volume": 3150.0, "trend": 45.416583, "fair_value": 38.894193, "relative_strength": -1.914505, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 48.505115, "energy": 43.428283, "activity_lines": [ 49.825525, 50.283635, 48.964277, 47.216333 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 49.630001, "volume": 5200, "typical_volume": 3085.0, "trend": 45.619997, "fair_value": 39.0084, "relative_strength": 0.427436, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 43.941578, "energy": 35.057842, "activity_lines": [ 49.668666, 50.112294, 49.229362, 47.488166 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 50.91, "volume": 3900, "typical_volume": 2930.0, "trend": 45.822453, "fair_value": 39.13684, "relative_strength": -0.09871, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 55.355491, "energy": 37.139847, "activity_lines": [ 49.968, 50.190817, 49.573877, 47.829457 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }