{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "d34d03ff-fd7e-49d0-b8ce-c529ee85aba8",
    "symbol": "BORG",
    "name": "Bj\u00f6rn Borg AB (publ)",
    "exchange": "STO",
    "country": "SE",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^OMX",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 60.637,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 33.858,
    "architecture_energy": 23.918,
    "architecture_maturity": 31.898,
    "architecture_confidence": 49.991,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 46.39,
        "rotation_up": 52.15,
        "upward_expansion": 64.16,
        "deceleration": 60.63,
        "rotation_down": 11.64,
        "downward_expansion": 9.82
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        64.926667,
        64.205454,
        64.463142,
        64.406985
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 64.5,
    "trend_reference": 63.460958,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.016373,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 51.626669,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.249354,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -6.186165,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.119096,
    "excess_performance": 0.057602,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.016373,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.028533,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.249354,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.064202,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.061862,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.05897,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.119096,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.709201,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 48085,
      "relative_activity": 0.755325,
      "balance": 1.709201,
      "dry_up": 0.696608,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.040894,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.25672,
      "from_high_reference": -0.134852,
      "from_low_reference": 0.232045
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 63.460958,
      "fair_value_reference": 51.626669,
      "structural_low": 55.915318,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 16,
        "median_return": -0.004314,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.01213,
        "regime_survival": 0.5625,
        "best_return": 0.310061,
        "worst_return": -0.15942,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": -0.03792,
        "positive_rate": 0.428571,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.428571,
        "median_excess_return": 0.046062,
        "regime_survival": 0.142857,
        "best_return": 0.248698,
        "worst_return": -0.121622,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.132613,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.076885,
        "regime_survival": 0.166667,
        "best_return": 0.265624,
        "worst_return": -0.488889,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.089235,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.043351,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.483897,
        "worst_return": -0.371094,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-10-11",
        "end": "2024-11-29",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.149097,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-12-06",
        "end": "2024-12-13",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0204,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-12-20",
        "end": "2025-01-31",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.127443,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-02-07",
        "end": "2025-02-21",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.032235,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2025-03-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.029126,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-03-14",
        "end": "2025-04-04",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.063602,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-11",
        "end": "2025-04-18",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.045541,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-04-25",
        "end": "2025-05-16",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.056943,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-05-23",
        "end": "2025-08-01",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.001742,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-08-08",
        "end": "2025-08-29",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.06518,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-09-05",
        "end": "2025-12-19",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.005797,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2026-02-27",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.127063,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2026-05-08",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.033588,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.007625,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "fair_value": 48.855421,
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      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 100690.0,
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        "stage": 2,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 65.900002,
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        "typical_volume": 103776.5,
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        "energy": 18.846437,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 65.599998,
        "volume": 57601,
        "typical_volume": 103484.25,
        "trend": 61.700475,
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        "relative_strength": -0.82902,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "typical_volume": 99233.9,
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        "fair_value": 50.019411,
        "relative_strength": -2.933653,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 63.099998,
        "volume": 15257,
        "typical_volume": 95683.5,
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        "fair_value": 50.186388,
        "relative_strength": -3.590561,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "volume": 11226,
        "typical_volume": 89562.7,
        "trend": 62.160659,
        "fair_value": 50.515777,
        "relative_strength": -7.06023,
        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
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        "energy": 22.78845,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 61.5,
        "volume": 21189,
        "typical_volume": 82834.55,
        "trend": 62.260791,
        "fair_value": 50.679409,
        "relative_strength": -9.158733,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "mixed",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 65.699997,
        "volume": 78626,
        "typical_volume": 80205.6,
        "trend": 62.532784,
        "fair_value": 50.8672,
        "relative_strength": -0.715181,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 14.347081,
        "energy": 21.253486,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 66.599998,
        "volume": 55495,
        "typical_volume": 73324.9,
        "trend": 62.825219,
        "fair_value": 51.06629,
        "relative_strength": 1.615619,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 37.124989,
        "energy": 16.870626,
        "activity_lines": [
          64.299998,
          63.852646,
          64.588341,
          64.108871
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 64.300003,
        "volume": 43554,
        "typical_volume": 69372.8,
        "trend": 63.037801,
        "fair_value": 51.250636,
        "relative_strength": -3.423387,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 28.755156,
        "energy": 19.835762,
        "activity_lines": [
          64.62,
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          64.529927,
          64.204018
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 64.900002,
        "volume": 30254,
        "typical_volume": 66967.35,
        "trend": 63.216221,
        "fair_value": 51.437723,
        "relative_strength": -3.833045,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 33.828882,
        "energy": 27.517442,
        "activity_lines": [
          64.960001,
          64.083636,
          64.520589,
          64.32416
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 64.5,
        "volume": 48085,
        "typical_volume": 63661.3,
        "trend": 63.460958,
        "fair_value": 51.626669,
        "relative_strength": -6.186165,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 33.858146,
        "energy": 23.917527,
        "activity_lines": [
          64.926667,
          64.205454,
          64.463142,
          64.406985
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}