{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d34ee674-6a96-478e-9e9b-4f5267102f91", "symbol": "002515", "name": "Jinzi Ham Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 21.99, "architecture_energy": 23.183, "architecture_maturity": 64.327, "architecture_confidence": 87.979, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 49.01, "rotation_up": 20.29, "upward_expansion": 53.88, "deceleration": 91.15, "rotation_down": 41.98, "downward_expansion": 22.21 }, "activity_lines": [ 7.330667, 8.020182, 7.726914, 7.327754 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 7.32, "trend_reference": 6.863045, "distance_from_trend": 0.066582, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 5.522358, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.325521, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 3.413629, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.223998, "excess_performance": 0.216599, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.066582, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.103676, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.325521, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.09261, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.034136, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.08221, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.223998, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.167377, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 335436074, "relative_activity": 1.097639, "balance": 1.167377, "dry_up": 1.533936, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.202758, "annualized_volatility": 0.722339, "from_high_reference": -0.371674, "from_low_reference": 0.365317 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 6.863045, "fair_value_reference": 5.522358, "structural_low": 5.361394, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.017716, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.045937, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.125828, "worst_return": -0.103659, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.064368, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": 0.136826, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.36862, "worst_return": -0.051829, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.112581, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.037339, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.177694, "worst_return": -0.072614, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.171008, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.039033, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.310019, "worst_return": 0.031997, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-08-23", "end": "2024-10-25", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.089412, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-11-01", "end": "2025-01-10", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.102784, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-01-17", "end": "2025-03-14", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.169265, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-03-21", "end": "2025-05-09", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.031131, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-05-16", "end": "2025-05-30", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.098299, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-06-06", "end": "2025-10-17", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.078992, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-10-24", "end": "2025-11-14", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.050305, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-11-21", "end": "2025-12-05", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.144558, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-12-12", "end": "2026-01-09", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.044342, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2026-01-16", "end": "2026-04-24", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.030744, "active": false }, { "regime": 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5.469808, "relative_strength": 12.806292, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.546866, "energy": 50.268927, "activity_lines": [ 8.820667, 8.49195, 7.708615, 7.245141 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 7.81, "volume": 579501945, "typical_volume": 282134559.75, "trend": 6.808724, "fair_value": 5.491191, "relative_strength": 13.959205, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 42.181215, "energy": 25.912383, "activity_lines": [ 8.34, 8.451439, 7.777569, 7.312944 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 6.54, "volume": 495143474, "typical_volume": 294812770.25, "trend": 6.82172, "fair_value": 5.504433, "relative_strength": -2.997684, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 16.355759, "energy": 19.941691, "activity_lines": [ 7.557333, 8.161457, 7.715908, 7.295607 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 7.32, "volume": 335436074, "typical_volume": 305597936.75, "trend": 6.863045, "fair_value": 5.522358, "relative_strength": 3.413629, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 21.989987, "energy": 23.182919, "activity_lines": [ 7.330667, 8.020182, 7.726914, 7.327754 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }