{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "d35ac795-fe82-4eba-829d-d43f33fcf122",
    "symbol": "688569",
    "name": "Beijing Tieke Shougang Rail Way-Tech Co., Ltd.",
    "exchange": "SHH",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "000001.SS",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -61.452,
    "architecture_energy": 53.841,
    "architecture_maturity": 49.878,
    "architecture_confidence": 91.987,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 11.21,
        "rotation_up": 22.96,
        "upward_expansion": 8.75,
        "deceleration": 58.71,
        "rotation_down": 53.99,
        "downward_expansion": 79.75
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        16.638,
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        17.727552,
        18.449525
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 17.219999,
    "trend_reference": 19.407699,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.112723,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 22.36253,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.229962,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -14.905576,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.179738,
    "excess_performance": -0.136534,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.112723,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.068366,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.229962,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.080782,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.149056,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.034018,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.179738,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.353855,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 5504767,
      "relative_activity": 1.085429,
      "balance": 0.353855,
      "dry_up": 1.003556,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.065579,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.269161,
      "from_high_reference": -0.327613,
      "from_low_reference": 0.098915
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 19.407699,
      "fair_value_reference": 22.36253,
      "structural_low": 15.67,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 18,
        "median_return": -0.019831,
        "positive_rate": 0.277778,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.722222,
        "median_excess_return": 0.003871,
        "regime_survival": 0.777778,
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        "worst_return": -0.158937,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 7,
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        "positive_rate": 0.571429,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.428571,
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        "regime_survival": 0.428571,
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        "worst_return": -0.16398,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.027574,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
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        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.13896,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 5117156.0,
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        "fair_value": 22.665421,
        "relative_strength": -20.453123,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Established contraction",
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        "energy": 74.247513,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 16.540001,
        "volume": 4823465,
        "typical_volume": 5034118.8,
        "trend": 19.556165,
        "fair_value": 22.507956,
        "relative_strength": -16.446548,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -64.560499,
        "energy": 60.558681,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 17.219999,
        "volume": 5504767,
        "typical_volume": 5071514.65,
        "trend": 19.407699,
        "fair_value": 22.36253,
        "relative_strength": -14.905576,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -61.452268,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}