{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d36bedf8-3821-470a-bbd3-699ac0fb0d6e", "symbol": "UC15", "name": "UBS CMCI Composite SF UCITS ETF USD acc", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 60.619, "architecture_energy": 62.959, "architecture_maturity": 9.06, "architecture_confidence": 80.221, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 24.98, "rotation_up": 69.57, "upward_expansion": 85.86, "deceleration": 47.0, "rotation_down": 13.14, "downward_expansion": 14.86 }, "activity_lines": [ 10476.266667, 10329.518182, 10294.759524, 10165.730108 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 10511.0, "trend_reference": 9885.733333, "distance_from_trend": 0.063249, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 8562.408654, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.227575, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 4.451062, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.190306, "excess_performance": 0.139071, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.063249, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.061608, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.227575, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.009561, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.044511, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.070872, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.190306, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.055652, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 4225, "relative_activity": 0.443183, "balance": 2.055652, "dry_up": 1.148605, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.029172, "annualized_volatility": 0.145933, "from_high_reference": -0.066747, "from_low_reference": 0.319317 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 9885.733333, "fair_value_reference": 8562.408654, 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"relative_strength": 7.743215, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.209186, "energy": 43.220033, "activity_lines": [ 10333.266667, 10247.863636, 10244.807143, 10078.151613 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 10433.5, "volume": 3730, "typical_volume": 9795.75, "trend": 9826.533333, "fair_value": 8546.860577, "relative_strength": 4.16864, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 56.412268, "energy": 52.637017, "activity_lines": [ 10407.9, 10280.690909, 10266.961905, 10121.570968 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 10511.0, "volume": 4225, "typical_volume": 9533.3, "trend": 9885.733333, "fair_value": 8562.408654, "relative_strength": 4.451062, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.618667, "energy": 62.958731, "activity_lines": [ 10476.266667, 10329.518182, 10294.759524, 10165.730108 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }