{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "d3871e9b-c46c-497f-8d95-9aef35970675",
    "symbol": "CSMIB",
    "name": "iShares VII PLC - iShares FTSE MIB ETF EUR Acc",
    "exchange": "MIL",
    "country": "IT",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "FTSEMIB.MI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 81.013,
    "architecture_energy": 65.764,
    "architecture_maturity": 100.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 76.779,
    "architecture_tenure": "Extended",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 9.44,
        "rotation_up": 56.22,
        "upward_expansion": 84.89,
        "deceleration": 68.21,
        "rotation_down": 28.4,
        "downward_expansion": 11.56
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        254.258569,
        246.751181
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 267.799988,
    "trend_reference": 237.714999,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.126559,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 177.753205,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.506583,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 2.530123,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.201705,
    "excess_performance": 0.030813,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.126559,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.071504,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.506583,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.060538,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.025301,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.009352,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.201705,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.226494,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 72999,
      "relative_activity": 2.102754,
      "balance": 1.226494,
      "dry_up": 1.403629,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.026929,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.175309,
      "from_high_reference": -0.005016,
      "from_low_reference": 0.394937
    },
    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 177.753205,
      "structural_low": 202.350006,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 48,
        "median_return": 0.016232,
        "positive_rate": 0.604167,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.604167,
        "median_excess_return": 0.001896,
        "regime_survival": 0.8125,
        "best_return": 0.120442,
        "worst_return": -0.15489,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 16,
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        "regime_survival": 0.6875,
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        "worst_return": -0.089364,
        "sufficient": true
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        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.090964,
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      },
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        "typical_volume": 46271.3,
        "trend": 233.351666,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 258.049988,
        "volume": 83182,
        "typical_volume": 42678.85,
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        "relative_strength": 2.613261,
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        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.524843,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 259.850006,
        "volume": 17468,
        "typical_volume": 33565.65,
        "trend": 236.178333,
        "fair_value": 176.835897,
        "relative_strength": 2.513921,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.229667,
        "energy": 57.928592,
        "activity_lines": [
          259.456665,
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          251.955713,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 267.799988,
        "volume": 72999,
        "typical_volume": 34715.9,
        "trend": 237.714999,
        "fair_value": 177.753205,
        "relative_strength": 2.530123,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 81.012879,
        "energy": 65.764159,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}