{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "d3936729-7752-4343-81d7-1b312f526947",
    "symbol": "6882",
    "name": "Reallusion Inc.",
    "exchange": "TWO",
    "country": "TW",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-14",
    "benchmark": "^TWII",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_down",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down",
    "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -34.305,
    "architecture_energy": 59.125,
    "architecture_maturity": 19.007,
    "architecture_confidence": 84.435,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 16.9,
        "rotation_up": 14.61,
        "upward_expansion": 27.11,
        "deceleration": 49.3,
        "rotation_down": 74.67,
        "downward_expansion": 59.11
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        14.783333,
        15.763636,
        17.057381,
        17.020108
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 14.25,
    "trend_reference": 17.016667,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.162586,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 23.0964,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.383021,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -38.691373,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.181034,
    "excess_performance": -0.622407,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.162586,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.030688,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.383021,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.194749,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.386914,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.2267,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.181034,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.388544,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 97867,
      "relative_activity": 0.151225,
      "balance": 0.388544,
      "dry_up": 0.191274,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.151147,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.78159,
      "from_high_reference": -0.451923,
      "from_low_reference": 0.307339
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 17.016667,
      "fair_value_reference": 23.0964,
      "structural_low": 12.4,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 0,
        "median_return": null,
        "positive_rate": null,
        "directional_follow_through": null,
        "median_excess_return": null,
        "regime_survival": null,
        "best_return": null,
        "worst_return": null,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 0,
        "median_return": null,
        "positive_rate": null,
        "directional_follow_through": null,
        "median_excess_return": null,
        "regime_survival": null,
        "best_return": null,
        "worst_return": null,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 0,
        "median_return": null,
        "positive_rate": null,
        "directional_follow_through": null,
        "median_excess_return": null,
        "regime_survival": null,
        "best_return": null,
        "worst_return": null,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 0,
        "median_return": null,
        "positive_rate": null,
        "directional_follow_through": null,
        "median_excess_return": null,
        "regime_survival": null,
        "best_return": null,
        "worst_return": null,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2023-11-10",
        "end": "2024-05-31",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.20398,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-06-07",
        "end": "2024-08-16",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.151706,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-08-23",
        "end": "2025-07-18",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.337086,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-07-25",
        "end": "2025-11-14",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.238889,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-11-21",
        "end": "2026-01-16",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.264228,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-01-23",
        "end": "2026-01-30",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.058496,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2026-02-06",
        "end": "2026-02-27",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.048851,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-03-06",
        "end": "2026-03-27",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.189602,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2026-04-03",
        "end": "2026-04-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.532567,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-04-24",
        "end": "2026-05-08",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.010989,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2026-06-26",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.101942,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-07-03",
        "end": "2026-07-24",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.16,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-07-31",
        "end": "2026-08-14",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.040404,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "fair_value": 25.269525,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "direction": 63.918602,
        "energy": 63.057537,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "typical_volume": 767283.15,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "volume": 357124,
        "typical_volume": 771752.95,
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        "fair_value": 24.86985,
        "relative_strength": -24.872394,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "typical_volume": 735979.25,
        "trend": 16.763333,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "typical_volume": 705110.55,
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        "fair_value": 24.463293,
        "relative_strength": -25.555415,
        "stage": 1,
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        "energy": 20.081398,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 696202.1,
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        "fair_value": 24.259951,
        "relative_strength": -32.142335,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 29.141817,
        "energy": 17.273993,
        "activity_lines": [
          18.253333,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 17.15,
        "volume": 58586,
        "typical_volume": 692224.95,
        "trend": 17.156667,
        "fair_value": 24.07038,
        "relative_strength": -30.546406,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 20.172506,
        "energy": 15.500147,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 17.15,
        "volume": 174202,
        "typical_volume": 695815.15,
        "trend": 17.251667,
        "fair_value": 23.88496,
        "relative_strength": -25.513218,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 15.98951,
        "energy": 15.797205,
        "activity_lines": [
          17.456667,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 14.7,
        "volume": 189177,
        "typical_volume": 696879.7,
        "trend": 17.21,
        "fair_value": 23.686503,
        "relative_strength": -36.751437,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -33.014131,
        "energy": 31.73644,
        "activity_lines": [
          16.47,
          17.435454,
          17.802619,
          17.508172
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 14.85,
        "volume": 177780,
        "typical_volume": 697885.75,
        "trend": 17.181667,
        "fair_value": 23.483374,
        "relative_strength": -34.302192,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -30.575281,
        "energy": 45.496879,
        "activity_lines": [
          15.753333,
          16.820909,
          17.570952,
          17.355914
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 14.85,
        "volume": 30319,
        "typical_volume": 662298.65,
        "trend": 17.123333,
        "fair_value": 23.280838,
        "relative_strength": -34.850927,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -30.433512,
        "energy": 53.282768,
        "activity_lines": [
          15.28,
          16.3,
          17.346667,
          17.205484
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-14",
        "close": 14.25,
        "volume": 97867,
        "typical_volume": 647162.95,
        "trend": 17.016667,
        "fair_value": 23.0964,
        "relative_strength": -38.691373,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -34.304944,
        "energy": 59.124573,
        "activity_lines": [
          14.783333,
          15.763636,
          17.057381,
          17.020108
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}