{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d399148e-5845-4675-ac95-be5fcab617e9", "symbol": "300956", "name": "Anhui Shiny Electronic Technology Company Limited", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -65.272, "architecture_energy": 63.949, "architecture_maturity": 64.973, "architecture_confidence": 89.756, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 7.53, "rotation_up": 18.94, "upward_expansion": 11.8, "deceleration": 54.58, "rotation_down": 64.55, "downward_expansion": 85.13 }, "activity_lines": [ 10.258667, 10.656727, 12.111268, 13.108288 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 11.07, "trend_reference": 14.471504, "distance_from_trend": -0.235048, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 14.675435, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.245678, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -32.609885, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.3597, "excess_performance": -0.367099, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.235048, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.123164, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.245678, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.365315, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.326099, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.113244, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.3597, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.730624, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 29473588, "relative_activity": 1.275327, "balance": 0.730624, "dry_up": 1.334223, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.119033, "annualized_volatility": 0.504574, "from_high_reference": -0.501225, "from_low_reference": 0.259386 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 14.471504, "fair_value_reference": 14.675435, "structural_low": 8.79, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": 0.031333, "positive_rate": 0.733333, "directional_follow_through": 0.266667, "median_excess_return": -0.016738, "regime_survival": 0.733333, "best_return": 1.419492, "worst_return": -0.28063, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.064106, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.033789, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 1.036427, "worst_return": -0.239161, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.098898, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.136385, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.6249, "worst_return": -0.040273, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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22350899.85, "trend": 14.865138, "fair_value": 14.682466, "relative_strength": -42.099726, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -82.104731, "energy": 90.89588, "activity_lines": [ 10.109333, 11.114364, 12.669307, 13.649478 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 10.06, "volume": 24947717, "typical_volume": 22541682.6, "trend": 14.653308, "fair_value": 14.672907, "relative_strength": -36.189613, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.731505, "energy": 81.832029, "activity_lines": [ 9.976, 10.749273, 12.327984, 13.339469 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 11.07, "volume": 29473588, "typical_volume": 23110607.95, "trend": 14.471504, "fair_value": 14.675435, "relative_strength": -32.609885, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.271611, "energy": 63.949127, "activity_lines": [ 10.258667, 10.656727, 12.111268, 13.108288 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }