{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "d3a100b9-3c72-4fc3-804e-4ee20933002d",
    "symbol": "STX",
    "name": "Shield Therapeutics plc",
    "exchange": "LSE",
    "country": "GB",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FTSE",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -93.22,
    "architecture_energy": 96.304,
    "architecture_maturity": 46.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 81.382,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 3.33,
        "rotation_up": 10.31,
        "upward_expansion": 21.91,
        "deceleration": 37.02,
        "rotation_down": 84.48,
        "downward_expansion": 97.58
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.048033,
        0.054245,
        0.060904,
        0.067755
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 0.038,
    "trend_reference": 0.078263,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.51446,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 0.053715,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.292559,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -56.647554,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.604167,
    "excess_performance": -0.655402,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.51446,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.134383,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.292559,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.527811,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.566476,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.457338,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.604167,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.164684,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 13583710,
      "relative_activity": 1.291341,
      "balance": 0.164684,
      "dry_up": 1.642188,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.179109,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.740424,
      "from_high_reference": -0.696,
      "from_low_reference": 0.027027
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.078263,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.053715,
      "structural_low": 0.037,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 35,
        "median_return": -0.015385,
        "positive_rate": 0.428571,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.571429,
        "median_excess_return": -0.017829,
        "regime_survival": 0.8,
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        "worst_return": -0.581818,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 12,
        "median_return": -0.15242,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": -0.180171,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
        "best_return": 1.439024,
        "worst_return": -0.642857,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": -0.361978,
        "positive_rate": 0.428571,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.571429,
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        "worst_return": -0.674603,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "positive_rate": 0.5,
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        "best_return": 2.614679,
        "worst_return": -0.771429,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-11-22",
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        "return": -0.05,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "modifier": "Established contraction",
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        "energy": 50.590556,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 0.0615,
        "volume": 3914872,
        "typical_volume": 8569442.05,
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        "fair_value": 0.054676,
        "relative_strength": -29.250406,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
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        "energy": 49.391453,
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          0.0621,
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          0.06709,
          0.073268
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.0395,
        "volume": 48423851,
        "typical_volume": 10417960.75,
        "trend": 0.080497,
        "fair_value": 0.054192,
        "relative_strength": -54.968685,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -93.522041,
        "energy": 84.479818,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.0546,
          0.058255,
          0.063966,
          0.070497
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.038,
        "volume": 13583710,
        "typical_volume": 10519072.25,
        "trend": 0.078263,
        "fair_value": 0.053715,
        "relative_strength": -56.647554,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -93.219874,
        "energy": 96.303721,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.048033,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}