{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "d3a5b10d-34f7-489a-82a1-86ff4689d044",
    "symbol": "BRG",
    "name": "Borregaard ASA",
    "exchange": "OSL",
    "country": "NO",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "OSEBX.OL",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch",
    "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch",
    "confidence": 92.432,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": 4.307,
    "architecture_energy": 26.256,
    "architecture_maturity": 20.976,
    "architecture_confidence": 45.068,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 48.45,
        "rotation_up": 51.18,
        "upward_expansion": 39.53,
        "deceleration": 39.95,
        "rotation_down": 14.06,
        "downward_expansion": 43.2
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        158.373334,
        155.018182,
        152.940087,
        155.801848
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 159.0,
    "trend_reference": 161.612949,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.016168,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 172.842627,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.080088,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -19.240276,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.052972,
    "excess_performance": -0.177966,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.016168,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.065906,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.080088,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.073855,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.192403,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.115809,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.052972,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.833366,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 216980,
      "relative_activity": 0.470174,
      "balance": 0.833366,
      "dry_up": 0.684551,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.039671,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.241519,
      "from_high_reference": -0.228976,
      "from_low_reference": 0.148844
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 161.612949,
      "fair_value_reference": 172.842627,
      "structural_low": 138.399994,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 13,
        "median_return": -0.030534,
        "positive_rate": 0.384615,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.384615,
        "median_excess_return": -0.033095,
        "regime_survival": 0.384615,
        "best_return": 0.142303,
        "worst_return": -0.149512,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": -0.051447,
        "positive_rate": 0.428571,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.428571,
        "median_excess_return": -0.046552,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.137128,
        "worst_return": -0.225352,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": -0.069668,
        "positive_rate": 0.428571,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.428571,
        "median_excess_return": -0.097442,
        "regime_survival": 0.285714,
        "best_return": 0.17413,
        "worst_return": -0.233172,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.032618,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.11343,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.150983,
        "worst_return": -0.206493,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-10-25",
        "end": "2024-11-01",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.069951,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-11-08",
        "end": "2024-11-22",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.018847,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-11-29",
        "end": "2025-01-31",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.10929,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-02-07",
        "end": "2025-02-28",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.053807,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-03-07",
        "end": "2025-03-21",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.035556,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-03-28",
        "end": "2025-05-16",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.141649,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-05-23",
        "end": "2025-06-13",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.017021,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-06-20",
        "end": "2025-09-26",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.017952,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-10-03",
        "end": "2025-10-24",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.028272,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-10-31",
        "end": "2025-11-28",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.010417,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-12-05",
        "end": "2025-12-19",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.009375,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-12-26",
        "end": "2026-01-30",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.011224,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2026-02-06",
        "end": "2026-07-24",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.054163,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-07-31",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.006329,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
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        "typical_volume": 374815.75,
        "trend": 159.048637,
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      },
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "stage": 4,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "trend": 165.781813,
        "fair_value": 172.642958,
        "relative_strength": -21.62003,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -42.216747,
        "energy": 29.76217,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 160.199997,
        "volume": 535674,
        "typical_volume": 546051.8,
        "trend": 164.83796,
        "fair_value": 172.694606,
        "relative_strength": -17.766868,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -19.457827,
        "energy": 21.458104,
        "activity_lines": [
          153.693333,
          149.792728,
          152.024151,
          156.8007
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 158.800003,
        "volume": 278703,
        "typical_volume": 525417.85,
        "trend": 163.776108,
        "fair_value": 172.725357,
        "relative_strength": -19.936489,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -12.100281,
        "energy": 21.930442,
        "activity_lines": [
          156.160001,
          151.792728,
          152.305173,
          156.411154
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 158.0,
        "volume": 232293,
        "typical_volume": 504748.5,
        "trend": 162.668135,
        "fair_value": 172.772441,
        "relative_strength": -20.111985,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -1.477021,
        "energy": 22.777711,
        "activity_lines": [
          157.493334,
          153.400001,
          152.556087,
          156.038502
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 159.0,
        "volume": 216980,
        "typical_volume": 461488.7,
        "trend": 161.612949,
        "fair_value": 172.842627,
        "relative_strength": -19.240276,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": 4.306673,
        "energy": 26.25561,
        "activity_lines": [
          158.373334,
          155.018182,
          152.940087,
          155.801848
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}