{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d3a7f1cc-061c-4098-a8d3-8aa14ac91f0a", "symbol": "BRAZ", "name": "GLOBAL X FDS BRAZIL ACTIVE ETF", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 85.006, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -28.865, "architecture_energy": 22.215, "architecture_maturity": 24.035, "architecture_confidence": 57.016, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 56.9, "rotation_up": 34.59, "upward_expansion": 21.15, "deceleration": 43.28, "rotation_down": 19.6, "downward_expansion": 52.82 }, "activity_lines": [ 30.468067, 30.07148, 30.44741, 30.875628 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 30.4252, "trend_reference": 31.242999, "distance_from_trend": -0.026175, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 24.935043, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.220178, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -6.323361, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.054002, "excess_performance": -0.179627, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.026175, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.026284, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.220178, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.119369, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.063234, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.13996, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.054002, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.108015, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1672, "relative_activity": 0.225699, "balance": 3.108015, "dry_up": 0.327851, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.037771, "annualized_volatility": 0.246139, "from_high_reference": -0.149897, "from_low_reference": 0.339638 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 31.242999, "fair_value_reference": 24.935043, "structural_low": 28.280895, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.032539, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.023314, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.097443, "worst_return": -0.043302, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.073474, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.105292, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.073474, "worst_return": 0.073474, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.138776, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.056721, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.138776, "worst_return": 0.138776, 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"fair_value": 24.935043, "relative_strength": -6.323361, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -28.86473, "energy": 22.214908, "activity_lines": [ 30.468067, 30.07148, 30.44741, 30.875628 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }