{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d3ab0579-e352-4a7f-b2b5-e130b62fabdf", "symbol": "9536", "name": "Arabian Food and Dairy Factories Company", "exchange": "SAU", "country": "SA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^TASI.SR", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 65.218, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -17.793, "architecture_energy": 16.212, "architecture_maturity": 81.992, "architecture_confidence": 61.396, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 57.35, "rotation_up": 25.5, "upward_expansion": 10.47, "deceleration": 62.51, "rotation_down": 34.58, "downward_expansion": 67.14 }, "activity_lines": [ 41.616001, 41.506182, 41.60981, 42.246839 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 43.880001, "trend_reference": 43.934334, "distance_from_trend": -0.001237, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 71.740661, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.388352, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -11.87276, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.1224, "excess_performance": -0.090571, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.001237, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.113518, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.388352, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.038827, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.118728, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.111413, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.1224, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.692714, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3302, "relative_activity": 3.349734, "balance": 1.692714, "dry_up": 1.327416, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.04309, "annualized_volatility": 0.370043, "from_high_reference": -0.343308, "from_low_reference": 0.125128 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 43.934334, "fair_value_reference": 71.740661, 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contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.130481, "energy": 59.633029, "activity_lines": [ 40.458667, 41.130546, 41.879238, 43.864086 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 43.599998, "volume": 2005, "typical_volume": 1046.5, "trend": 46.933667, "fair_value": 73.571334, "relative_strength": -16.311568, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.317083, "energy": 45.064428, "activity_lines": [ 41.466666, 41.514909, 41.926524, 43.613957 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 42.040001, "volume": 1323, "typical_volume": 1070.1, "trend": 46.338334, "fair_value": 73.182713, "relative_strength": -18.404825, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -40.3183, "energy": 26.24585, "activity_lines": [ 41.846667, 41.568364, 41.855714, 43.298237 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 41.400002, "volume": 1101, "typical_volume": 1018.0, "trend": 45.728334, "fair_value": 72.811805, "relative_strength": -18.299142, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -39.255126, "energy": 22.041217, "activity_lines": [ 41.857334, 41.486546, 41.771143, 42.979635 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 40.0, "volume": 201, "typical_volume": 818.1, "trend": 45.071667, "fair_value": 72.444042, "relative_strength": -20.871318, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.993348, "energy": 28.199084, "activity_lines": [ 41.308001, 41.197455, 41.579905, 42.610065 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 40.0, "volume": 630, "typical_volume": 820.65, "trend": 44.438334, "fair_value": 72.065372, "relative_strength": -18.3964, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.107323, "energy": 40.253313, "activity_lines": [ 40.792, 40.981091, 41.405334, 42.28286 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 43.880001, "volume": 3302, "typical_volume": 985.75, "trend": 43.934334, "fair_value": 71.740661, "relative_strength": -11.87276, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -17.792878, "energy": 16.211778, "activity_lines": [ 41.616001, 41.506182, 41.60981, 42.246839 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }