{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d3c889f9-b839-4973-bac1-428af69f6499", "symbol": "MWOE", "name": "Amundi Core MSCI World UCITS ETF Dist", "exchange": "GER", "country": "DE", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GDAXI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 84.231, "architecture_energy": 68.265, "architecture_maturity": 81.721, "architecture_confidence": 73.656, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 13.63, "rotation_up": 54.77, "upward_expansion": 83.0, "deceleration": 71.22, "rotation_down": 28.47, "downward_expansion": 12.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 15.846066, 15.774363, 15.536371, 15.214545 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 16.157499, "trend_reference": 14.839281, "distance_from_trend": 0.088833, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 12.570756, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.285324, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 3.865408, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.141755, "excess_performance": 0.077116, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.088833, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.041552, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.285324, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.041155, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.038654, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.048659, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.141755, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.683763, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 323432, "relative_activity": 1.412166, "balance": 2.683763, "dry_up": 0.983909, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.017589, "annualized_volatility": 0.107734, "from_high_reference": -0.002624, "from_low_reference": 0.240842 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 14.839281, "fair_value_reference": 12.570756, "structural_low": 13.465, 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{ "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 15.849, "volume": 339329, "typical_volume": 244500.65, "trend": 14.608543, "fair_value": 12.416065, "relative_strength": 8.14848, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 77.241205, "energy": 83.158305, "activity_lines": [ 15.7274, 15.615236, 15.211829, 14.929188 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 15.692, "volume": 293393, "typical_volume": 249292.4, "trend": 14.666842, "fair_value": 12.45415, "relative_strength": 7.729322, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.752213, "energy": 71.675277, "activity_lines": [ 15.736367, 15.650073, 15.293245, 14.999088 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 15.7395, "volume": 158998, "typical_volume": 234596.8, "trend": 14.724848, "fair_value": 12.491494, "relative_strength": 6.577186, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.416434, "energy": 64.572672, "activity_lines": [ 15.744467, 15.681273, 15.372338, 15.068292 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 15.613, "volume": 125566, "typical_volume": 226397.2, "trend": 14.778735, "fair_value": 12.529161, "relative_strength": 3.321586, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.081859, "energy": 59.474317, "activity_lines": [ 15.706867, 15.679927, 15.43215, 15.125592 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 16.157499, "volume": 323432, "typical_volume": 229032.5, "trend": 14.839281, "fair_value": 12.570756, "relative_strength": 3.865408, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 84.230835, "energy": 68.265258, "activity_lines": [ 15.846066, 15.774363, 15.536371, 15.214545 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }