{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d3d0a8eb-c9d4-4d29-a57a-177e6ae3c838", "symbol": "ABN", "name": "ABN AMRO Bank N.V.", "exchange": "VIE", "country": "AT", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^ATX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 80.908, "architecture_energy": 70.077, "architecture_maturity": 82.384, "architecture_confidence": 81.853, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 10.99, "rotation_up": 60.63, "upward_expansion": 85.33, "deceleration": 68.22, "rotation_down": 26.86, "downward_expansion": 12.0 }, "activity_lines": [ 38.666667, 38.024001, 35.870716, 33.848852 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 39.830002, "trend_reference": 31.702871, "distance_from_trend": 0.256353, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 19.43722, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.049161, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 11.547442, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.32052, "excess_performance": 0.146274, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.256353, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.109017, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.049161, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.331129, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.115474, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.137804, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.32052, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.980707, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 0.980707, "dry_up": 1.445916, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.043396, "annualized_volatility": 0.319488, "from_high_reference": -0.011662, "from_low_reference": 0.698667 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 31.702871, "fair_value_reference": 19.43722, "structural_low": 24.500873, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 37, "median_return": 0.033731, "positive_rate": 0.648649, "directional_follow_through": 0.648649, "median_excess_return": 0.014956, "regime_survival": 0.756757, "best_return": 0.186546, "worst_return": -0.330409, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": 0.074676, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.037435, "regime_survival": 0.583333, "best_return": 0.355263, "worst_return": -0.118156, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.162423, "positive_rate": 0.857143, "directional_follow_through": 0.857143, "median_excess_return": 0.050348, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.446249, "worst_return": -0.070679, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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"upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 88.018657, "energy": 94.07764, "activity_lines": [ 36.881334, 35.456364, 32.715446, 31.396993 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 38.060001, "volume": 970, "typical_volume": 128.8, "trend": 30.430017, "fair_value": 18.756638, "relative_strength": 10.548552, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 78.035714, "energy": 90.488098, "activity_lines": [ 37.512001, 36.185637, 33.421059, 31.909808 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 37.27, "volume": 274, "typical_volume": 142.5, "trend": 30.711058, "fair_value": 18.919301, "relative_strength": 9.995523, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.036413, "energy": 77.014996, "activity_lines": [ 37.594667, 36.611637, 34.004027, 32.351097 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 37.59, "volume": 774, "typical_volume": 181.2, "trend": 31.018868, "fair_value": 19.083864, "relative_strength": 9.109722, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.433682, "energy": 66.542986, "activity_lines": [ 37.606667, 36.960364, 34.571664, 32.7949 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 38.869999, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 181.2, "trend": 31.344869, "fair_value": 19.254487, "relative_strength": 12.480363, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 76.656145, "energy": 68.677259, "activity_lines": [ 38.063333, 37.45, 35.205133, 33.301424 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 39.830002, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 181.2, "trend": 31.702871, "fair_value": 19.43722, "relative_strength": 11.547442, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 80.907717, "energy": 70.07688, "activity_lines": [ 38.666667, 38.024001, 35.870716, 33.848852 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }