{ "ticker": { "uuid": "d3e6dbc5-fab2-4937-8340-dd7a3b4498a3", "symbol": "C1IC34", "name": "The Cigna Group", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1a", "phase_label": "Stage 1A \u00b7 Bottoming", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 61.704, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Emerging rotation", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 10.768, "architecture_energy": 8.597, "architecture_maturity": 55.964, "architecture_confidence": 63.032, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 55.97, "rotation_up": 29.53, "upward_expansion": 65.31, "deceleration": 82.65, "rotation_down": 26.95, "downward_expansion": 15.31 }, "activity_lines": [ 60.230001, 60.606516, 60.133658, 59.854075 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 57.43, "trend_reference": 59.82268, "distance_from_trend": -0.039996, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 66.538768, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.136894, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -10.743968, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.062127, "excess_performance": -0.005079, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.039996, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.000354, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.136894, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.012794, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.10744, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.137155, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.062127, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.634783, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 18, "relative_activity": 0.104895, "balance": 2.634783, "dry_up": 1.809441, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.028888, "annualized_volatility": 0.175381, "from_high_reference": -0.159008, "from_low_reference": 0.081022 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 59.82268, "fair_value_reference": 66.538768, "structural_low": 53.125674, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.012003, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": -0.009418, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.069898, "worst_return": -0.057186, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.006596, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.061694, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.102316, "worst_return": -0.048722, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.058552, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.003162, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.113269, "worst_return": -0.114839, "sufficient": false }, 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42.65784, "energy": 70.991699, "activity_lines": [ 60.897333, 60.459542, 59.625064, 59.692472 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 63.236668, "volume": 1200, "typical_volume": 435.3, "trend": 60.148952, "fair_value": 66.464961, "relative_strength": -4.241205, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 68.393725, "energy": 86.116837, "activity_lines": [ 61.757556, 61.041088, 60.006488, 59.892934 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 60.240002, "volume": 6, "typical_volume": 428.7, "trend": 60.059361, "fair_value": 66.493353, "relative_strength": -8.21295, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 37.282877, "energy": 49.744169, "activity_lines": [ 61.40489, 60.977773, 60.093634, 59.898808 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 61.968334, "volume": 18, "typical_volume": 300.6, "trend": 60.032342, "fair_value": 66.532403, "relative_strength": -7.219145, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 43.760024, "energy": 45.071286, "activity_lines": [ 61.614112, 61.229145, 60.34021, 60.021968 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 57.43, "volume": 18, "typical_volume": 171.6, "trend": 59.82268, "fair_value": 66.538768, "relative_strength": -10.743968, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "up", "direction": 10.768254, "energy": 8.597406, "activity_lines": [ 60.230001, 60.606516, 60.133658, 59.854075 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }